La Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 10, 2026 8.00pm
Estadio Santiago Bernabéu

Real Madrid vs Girona - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Madrid

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 3.15pm
Mallorca 2 - 1 Real Madrid
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Kylian Mbappe

Girona

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 8.00pm
Girona 1 - 0 Villarreal
Goals scored
32
Top scorer
Viktor Tsygankov

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Real Madrid win with a probability of 67.89%. A draw has a probability of 19.83% and a win for Girona has a probability of 12.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (12.87%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (8.51%) , while for a Girona win it is 0-1 (4.09%).

Result

Real Madrid 67.89% (-0.02)
Draw 19.83% (+0.03)
Girona 12.26% (-0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

44.66% (-0.18)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.64% (-0.15)
Under 1.5 24.36% (+0.15)
Over 2.5 52.63% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 47.37% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 31.77% (-0.42)
Under 3.5 68.23% (+0.42)
Over 4.5 21.16% (-0.29)
Under 4.5 78.84% (+0.29)

First Half Winner

Real Madrid 47.42%
Draw 36.18%
Girona 16.39%

Team To Score First

Real Madrid 65.45% (-0.05)
No Goal 6.83% (+0.08)
Girona 27.72% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 61.91% (+0.07)
Equal 8 11.18% (+0.02)
Under 8 26.91% (-0.09)
Over 9 50.13% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.78% (+0.04)
Under 9 38.09% (-0.07)
Over 10.5 38.78% (-0.01)
Under 10.5 61.22% (+0.01)

Real Madrid Goals

Over 1.5 60.1% (-0.16)
Under 1.5 39.9% (+0.16)
Over 2.5 33.31% (-0.16)
Under 2.5 66.69% (+0.16)
Over 3.5 15.52% (-0.10)
Under 3.5 84.48% (+0.11)

Girona Goals

Over 0.5 43.11% (-0.15)
Under 0.5 56.89% (+0.15)
Over 1.5 15.35% (-0.18)
Under 1.5 84.65% (+0.19)
Over 2.5 4.35% (-0.13)
Under 2.5 95.65% (+0.13)
Over 3.5 1.18% (-0.07)
Under 3.5 98.82% (+0.06)

Score analysis

Real Madrid 67.9%
Draw 19.83%
Girona 12.25%
Real Madrid
1-0 @ 13.42% (+0.06)
2-0 @ 12.87% (+0.03)
2-1 @ 9.17% (+0.06)
3-0 @ 8.35% (+0.08)
3-1 @ 5.99% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.7% (-0.06)
Other @ 15.4% (-0.09)
Total : 67.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.51% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.83% (+0.08)
2-2 @ 3.62% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.12% (-0.02)
Total : 19.83%
Girona
0-1 @ 4.09%
1-2 @ 3.05% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 1.63% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.13% (-0.06)
1-3 @ 1% (-0.05)
Other @ 1.06% (-0.06)
Total : 12.25%

Head to Head

La Liga
Nov 30, 2025 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Paulo Gazzaniga 42' yellowcard
  • Paulo Gazzaniga 43' yellowcard
  • Azzedine Ounahi 45' goal
  • Azzedine Ounahi 59' yellowcard
  • Vladyslav Vanat 74' yellowcard
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 67'
La Liga Gameweek 25
Feb 23, 2025 3.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Luka Modric 41' goal
  • Vinicius Junior 83' goal
  • yellowcard Ladislav Krejci 64'
  • yellowcard Jhon Solis 70'
La Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 7, 2024 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • Ladislav Krejci 76' yellowcard
  • Oriol Romeu 90' yellowcard
  • Portu 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Jude Bellingham 36'
  • yellowcard Kylian Mbappe 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Carlo Ancelotti 45'+2'
  • goal Arda Guler 55'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 62'
  • yellowcard Antonio Rudiger 76'
La Liga Gameweek 24
Feb 10, 2024 5.30pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Santiago Bernabeu
  • Vinicius Junior 6' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 35' goal
  • Jude Bellingham 54' goal
  • Rodrygo 61' goal
  • Ferland Mendy 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Juanpe 21'
  • yellowcard Yan Couto 68'
La Liga Gameweek 8
Sep 30, 2023 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 4
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • Eric Garcia 64' yellowcard
  • Cristhian Stuani 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Joselu 17'
  • goal Joselu 17'
  • goal Aurelien Tchouameni 21'
  • goal Aurelien Tchouameni 21'
  • goal Jude Bellingham 71'
  • yellowcard Kepa Arrizabalaga 84'
  • redcard Nacho 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Antonio Rudiger 90'+5'
La Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 25, 2023 6.30pm
4
2
HT : 2 1
FT Estadi Municipal de Montilivi
  • Valentin Castellanos 12' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 24' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 46' goal
  • Valentin Castellanos 62' goal
  • goal Vinicius Junior 34'
  • goal Lucas Vazquez 85'