Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.5%. A draw had a probability of 19.14% and a win for St Pauli had a probability of 11.36%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.18%) and 0-3 (8.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.25%) , while for a St Pauli win it was 1-0 (4.27%).