Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Apr 5, 2026 2.30pm
Stadion An der Alten Försterei

Union Berlin vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 2.30pm
Bayern 4 - 0 Union Berlin
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Rani Khedira

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 4.30pm
St Pauli 1 - 2 Freiburg
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Martijn Kaars

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Union Berlin win with a probability of 45.09%. A win for St Pauli has a probability of 28.27% and a draw has a probability of 26.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (8.16%). The likeliest St Pauli win is 0-1 (8.75%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.35%).

Result

Union Berlin 45.09% (-0.04)
Draw 26.64% (+0.04)
St Pauli 28.27%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.28% (-0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.86% (-0.10)
Under 1.5 29.14% (+0.11)
Over 2.5 45.86% (-0.15)
Under 2.5 54.14% (+0.15)
Over 3.5 24.02% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 75.98% (+0.11)
Over 4.5 12.88% (-0.05)
Under 4.5 87.12% (+0.06)

First Half Winner

Union Berlin 32.02%
Draw 41.34%
St Pauli 26.63%

Team To Score First

Union Berlin 50.78% (-0.04)
No Goal 8.57% (+0.06)
St Pauli 40.65% (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 51.06%
Equal 8 12.13%
Under 8 36.81%
Over 9 39.33%
Equal 9 11.73%
Under 9 48.94%
Over 10.5 28.92%
Under 10.5 71.08%

Union Berlin Goals

Over 1.5 40.6% (-0.08)
Under 1.5 59.4% (+0.08)
Over 2.5 16.91% (-0.06)
Under 2.5 83.09% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 5.55% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 94.45% (+0.04)

St Pauli Goals

Over 0.5 61.91% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 38.09% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 27.57% (-0.06)
Under 1.5 72.43% (+0.06)
Over 2.5 9.08% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 90.92% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.66% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 97.34% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Union Berlin 45.1%
Draw 26.65%
St Pauli 28.26%
Union Berlin
1-0 @ 11.83% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 9.12% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 8.16% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.12% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.33%
Other @ 5.46% (-0.04)
Total : 45.1%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.35%
0-0 @ 8.57% (+0.06)
2-2 @ 4.81% (-0.02)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 26.65%
St Pauli
0-1 @ 8.75% (+0.03)
1-2 @ 6.87% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.48% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.23% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.76% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.6% (-0.02)
Other @ 2.57% (-0.02)
Total : 28.26%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Nov 23, 2025 4.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Jan 26, 2025 4.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Morgan Guilavogui 31' goal
  • Morgan Guilavogui 51' goal
  • Danel Sinani 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard Andras Schafer 35'
  • yellowcard Laszlo Benes 50'
  • yellowcard Leopold Querfeld 51'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 30, 2024 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
  • Benedict Hollerbach 34' goal
  • Benedict Hollerbach 76' yellowcard
  • Leopold Querfeld 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Jeong Woo-yeong 90'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Morgan Guilavogui 45'+1'
DFB-Pokal
Mar 1, 2022 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei
  • Sheraldo Becker 45' goal
  • Sheraldo Becker 64' yellowcard
  • Andreas Voglsammer 75' goal
  • Rani Khedira 78' yellowcard
  • goal Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 21'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2019 7.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)
  • Sami Allagui 4' yellowcard
  • Sami Allagui 23' goal
  • Johannes Flum 33' yellowcard
  • Alexander Meier 62' goal
  • Marvin Knoll 84' yellowcard
  • Alexander Meier 90' goal
  • yellowcard Manuel Schmiedebach 12'
  • yellowcard Marvin Friedrich 37'
  • yellowcard Christopher Lenz 60'
  • goal Grischa Promel 84'
  • goal Suleiman Abdullahi 86'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2018 12.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Försterei (Berlin)
  • Grischa Promel 44' goal
  • Akaki Gogia 45' goal
  • Sebastian Andersson 57' goal
  • Kenny Prince Redondo 76' yellowcard
  • Sebastian Andersson 88' goal
  • yellowcard Johannes Flum 31'
  • yellowcard Christopher Buchtmann 38'
  • yellowcard Cenk Sahin 64'
  • goal Henk Veerman 71'