Bundesliga
Gameweek
28
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Funblog.png)
-
Andrej Ilic
52'
-
Alex Král
73'
-
Tom Rothe
80'
-
Ilyas Ansah
80'
-
Tom Rothe
81'
-
Mathias Pereira Lage
25'
-
Andréas Hountondji
60'
-
Connor Metcalfe
73'
-
Abdoulie Ceesay
89'
Union Berlin vs St Pauli - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2Fuploads%2F2026%2F04%2Ficonsport-283251-0046-69d009f6e8f68229225856.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Union Berlin win with a probability of 45.57%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 27.88% and a draw had a probability of 26.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Union Berlin win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (8.29%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 0-1 (8.72%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood.
Result
Union Berlin
45.57%
▲
(+0.07)
Draw
26.55%
St Pauli
27.88%
▼
(-0.02)
Both Teams to Score:
49.09%
Goals
Over 1.5
70.6%
Under 1.5
29.4%
Over 2.5
45.48%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 2.5
54.52%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 3.5
23.31%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 3.5
76.69%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 4.5
12.12%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 4.5
87.88%
▲
(+0.04)
First Half Winner
Union Berlin
31.8%
▼
(-0.01)
Draw
41.83%
▼
(-0.04)
St Pauli
26.37%
▲
(+0.05)
Team To Score First
Union Berlin
50.24%
▼
(-0.05)
No Goal
8.53%
▲
(+0.02)
St Pauli
41.23%
▲
(+0.03)
Corners
Over 8
51.45%
▲
(+0.05)
Equal 8
12.14%
Under 8
36.41%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 9
39.68%
▲
(+0.04)
Equal 9
11.77%
Under 9
48.55%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 10.5
29.21%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 10.5
70.79%
▼
(-0.03)
Union Berlin Goals
Over 1.5
40.56%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 1.5
59.44%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 2.5
16.57%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
83.43%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
5.26%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
94.74%
▲
(+0.01)
St Pauli Goals
Over 0.5
61.64%
▼
(-0.04)
Under 0.5
38.36%
▲
(+0.04)
Over 1.5
27.06%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 1.5
72.94%
▲
(+0.05)
Over 2.5
8.51%
▼
(-0.02)
Under 2.5
91.49%
▲
(+0.02)
Over 3.5
2.35%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
97.65%
▲
(+0.02)
Score analysis
Union Berlin
45.56%
Draw
26.55%
St Pauli
27.9%
Union Berlin
1-0
@
12.16%
▲
(+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.25%
Total : 45.56%
2-1 @ 9.31%
2-0 @ 8.29% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.17%
3-0 @ 4.14% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.24% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 5.25%
Total : 45.56%
Draw
1-1
@
12.38%
▲
(+0.03)
0-0 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 26.55%
0-0 @ 8.53% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.01% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 26.55%
St Pauli
0-1
@
8.72%
1-2 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 27.9%
1-2 @ 6.99% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.45% ▲ (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.14%
0-3 @ 1.74%
2-3 @ 1.52%
Other @ 2.34%
Total : 27.9%
Head to Head
Bundesliga
Bundesliga
Gameweek
19
-
Morgan Guilavogui
31'
-
Morgan Guilavogui
51'
-
Danel Sinani
90'+3'
-
Andras Schafer
35'
-
Laszlo Benes
50'
-
Leopold Querfeld
51'
Bundesliga
Gameweek
2
-
Benedict Hollerbach
34'
-
Benedict Hollerbach
76'
-
Leopold Querfeld
90'+1'
-
Jeong Woo-yeong
90'+4'
-
Morgan Guilavogui
45'+1'
DFB-Pokal
-
Sheraldo Becker
45'
-
Sheraldo Becker
64'
-
Andreas Voglsammer
75'
-
Rani Khedira
78'
-
Daniel-Kofi Kyereh
21'
2.Bundesliga
Gameweek
20
-
Sami Allagui
4'
-
Sami Allagui
23'
-
Johannes Flum
33'
-
Alexander Meier
62'
-
Marvin Knoll
84'
-
Alexander Meier
90'
-
Manuel Schmiedebach
12'
-
Marvin Friedrich
37'
-
Christopher Lenz
60'
-
Grischa Promel
84'
-
Suleiman Abdullahi
86'
2.Bundesliga
Gameweek
3
-
Grischa Promel
44'
-
Akaki Gogia
45'
-
Sebastian Andersson
57'
-
Kenny Prince Redondo
76'
-
Sebastian Andersson
88'
-
Johannes Flum
31'
-
Christopher Buchtmann
38'
-
Cenk Sahin
64'
-
Henk Veerman
71'