Ligue 1 Gameweek 32
May 2, 2026 4.00pm
Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain vs Lorient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 6.00pm
Angers 0 - 3 PSG
Goals scored
68
Top scorer
Ousmane Dembélé

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 2.00pm
Lorient 2 - 3 Strasbourg
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Bamba Dieng

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 68.17%. A draw has a probability of 18.65% and a win for Lorient has a probability of 13.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.88%) , while for a Lorient win it is 0-1 (3.88%).

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 68.17% (-0.04)
Draw 18.65%
Lorient 13.16% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.43% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.88% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 21.12% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 58.04% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 41.96% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 37.66% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 62.34% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 25.79% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 74.21% (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Paris Saint-Germain 53.01%
Draw 32.55%
Lorient 14.44%

Team To Score First

Paris Saint-Germain 68.45% (+0.02)
No Goal 5.74% (-0.03)
Lorient 25.81% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 51.82%
Equal 8 12.04%
Under 8 36.15%
Over 9 40.12%
Equal 9 11.7%
Under 9 48.18%
Over 10.5 29.68%
Under 10.5 70.32%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 63.11% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 36.89% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 37.57% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 62.43% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 18.66% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 81.34% (-0.01)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5 44.98% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 55.02% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 17.51% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 82.49% (-0.05)
Over 2.5 5.52% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 94.48% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.64% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.36% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 68.18%
Draw 18.65%
Lorient 13.16%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 11.49% (-0.04)
2-0 @ 11.32%
2-1 @ 8.94%
3-0 @ 7.92%
3-1 @ 6.77%
3-2 @ 3.2% (+0.02)
Other @ 18.54%
Total : 68.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.88% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.74% (-0.03)
2-2 @ 3.89% (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12% (+0.01)
Total : 18.65%
Lorient
0-1 @ 3.88%
1-2 @ 3.27%
0-2 @ 1.63%
2-3 @ 1.39%
1-3 @ 1.22% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.52%
Total : 13.16%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Oct 29, 2025 6.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 24, 2024 6.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Tiemoue Bakayoko 63' yellowcard
  • Mohamed Bamba 73' goal
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 19'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 22'
  • yellowcard Nuno Mendes 26'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 60'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 90'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 1
Aug 12, 2023 8.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Parc des Princes
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
Apr 30, 2023 4.05pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Kylian Mbappe 29' goal
  • goal Enzo Le Fee 15'
  • goal Darlin Yongwa 39'
  • goal Bamba Dieng 88'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2022 12.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Terem Moffi 53' goal
  • goal Neymar 9'
  • goal Danilo Pereira 81'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Apr 3, 2022 7.45pm
5
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Neymar 12' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 28' goal
  • Idrissa Gueye 53' yellowcard
  • Presnel Kimpembe 57' yellowcard
  • Kylian Mbappe 67' goal
  • Lionel Messi 73' goal
  • Neymar 90' goal
  • yellowcard Ibrahima Kone 38'
  • goal Terem Moffi 56'