Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2026 7.45pm
Groupama Stadium

Lyon vs Lorient - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lyon

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 2.00pm
Angers 0 - 0 Lyon
Goals scored
41
Top scorer
Pavel Sulc

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 4.15pm
Lorient 1 - 1 Paris FC
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Bamba Dieng

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lyon win with a probability of 50.61%. A win for Lorient has a probability of 25.25% and a draw has a probability of 24.18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Lorient win is 0-1 (6.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.35%).

Result

Lyon 50.61% (-0.01)
Draw 24.18%
Lorient 25.25% (+0.06)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.97% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.39% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 23.61% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 52.85% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 47.15% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 30.7% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 69.3% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 17.57% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 82.43% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Lyon 34.85% (-0.02)
Draw 41.56% (-0.01)
Lorient 23.59% (+0.04)

Team To Score First

Lyon 54.55% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.24% (-0.01)
Lorient 39.21%

Corners

Over 8 52.66% (+0.05)
Equal 8 11.98%
Under 8 35.37% (-0.04)
Over 9 40.93% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.72%
Under 9 47.34% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 30.4% (+0.04)
Under 10.5 69.6% (-0.05)

Lyon Goals

Over 1.5 48.5% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 51.5% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 22.71% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 77.29% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 8.6% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 91.4% (+0.02)

Lorient Goals

Over 0.5 61.4% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 38.6% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 28.25% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 71.75% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 9.74% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 90.26% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 2.86% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.14% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lyon 50.6%
Draw 24.18%
Lorient 25.25%
Lyon
1-0 @ 10.74% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.83% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 8.53%
3-1 @ 5.31%
3-0 @ 4.63% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.07%
Other @ 8.49% (-0.02)
Total : 50.6%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.35%
0-0 @ 6.24% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.38%
3-3 @ 1.1%
Other @ 0.11% (+0.01)
Total : 24.18%
Lorient
0-1 @ 6.66%
1-2 @ 6.4% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 3.66% (+0.02)
1-3 @ 2.44%
2-3 @ 2.05% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 2.75% (+0.01)
Total : 25.25%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Dec 7, 2025 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Pablo Pagis 39' goal
  • Sambou Soumano 57' yellowcard
  • Laurent Abergel 66' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ainsley Maitland-Niles 37'
  • yellowcard Ainsley Maitland-Niles 42'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Mar 9, 2024 4.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • goal Nicolas Tagliafico 52'
  • goal Nicolas Tagliafico 52'
  • goal Mama Balde 64'
  • goal Mama Balde 64'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 8
Oct 8, 2023 2.00pm
3
3
HT : 3 1
FT Parc Olympique Lyonnais
  • Ernest Nuamah 21' goal
  • Alexandre Lacazette 22' goal
  • Alexandre Lacazette 41' goal
  • goal Eli Junior Kroupi 16'
  • goal Eli Junior Kroupi 54'
  • goal Darlin Yongwa 79'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 26
Mar 5, 2023 4.05pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 2
Sep 7, 2022 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT
  • Enzo Le Fee 6' goal
  • Terem Moffi 33' goal
  • Dango Ouattara 49' goal
  • goal Alexandre Lacazette 28'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 27
Mar 4, 2022 8.00pm
1
4
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Thomas Monconduit 32' yellowcard
  • Terem Moffi 57' goal
  • goal Romain Faivre 5'
  • goal Moussa Dembele 26'
  • goal Karl Toko Ekambi 59'
  • goal Romain Faivre 78'