Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lyon win with a probability of 50.61%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 25.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.18%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lyon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Lorient win was 0-1 (6.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.5% likelihood.