Ligue 1
Lorient
Apr 18, 2026 4.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Marseille
  • Panos Katseris 28' goal
  • Bamba Dieng 58' goal
  • Laurent Abergel 69' yellowcard
  • Aiyegun Tosin 75' yellowcard
  • Igor Silva 82' yellowcard
  • Sambou Soumano 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Timothy Weah 46'
  • yellowcard Ethan Nwaneri 59'
  • yellowcard Bilal Nadir 59'
  • yellowcard Arthur Vermeeren 76'
  • yellowcard Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri 76'

Lorient vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 7.45pm
Lyon 2 - 0 Lorient
Goals scored
40
Top scorer
Bamba Dieng

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Apr 10, 2026 8.05pm
Marseille 3 - 1 Metz
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 42.2%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 32.35% and a draw had a probability of 25.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.05%). The likeliest Lorient win was 2-1 (7.66%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result

Lorient 32.35% ▼ (-0.04)
Draw 25.45%
Marseille 42.2% ▲ (+0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.26% ▲ (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.47% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 21.53% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 56.22% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 43.78% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 33.94% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 3.5 66.03% ▼ (-0.04)
Over 4.5 19.82% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 4.5 80.18% ▼ (-0.03)

First Half Winner

Lorient 27.07%
Draw 39.13%
Marseille 33.8%

Team To Score First

Lorient 42.44% ▲ (+0.01)
No Goal 6.04% ▼ (-0.02)
Marseille 51.52% ▲ (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 46.47%
Equal 8 12.26%
Under 8 41.27%
Over 9 35.05%
Equal 9 11.43%
Under 9 53.53%
Over 10.5 25.25%
Under 10.5 74.75%

Lorient Goals

Over 1.5 36.28% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 1.5 63.72% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 14.33%
Under 2.5 85.67%
Over 3.5 4.7%
Under 3.5 95.3%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 75.06% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 0.5 24.94% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 1.5 44.67% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 55.33% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 20.98% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 79.02% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 3.5 8.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 91.96% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lorient 32.35%
Draw 25.45%
Marseille 42.21%
Lorient
2-1 @ 7.66% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 7.48% ▼ (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.83% ▼ (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.33% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.45%
3-0 @ 2.25%
Other @ 4.35%
Total : 32.35%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.38%
2-2 @ 6.08% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 6.04% ▼ (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.35%
Total : 25.45%
Marseille
1-2 @ 9.11% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.02% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 6.05%
1-3 @ 4.7% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 3.38% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 3.26% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 7.69% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 42.21%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Marseille
Sep 12, 2025 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Lorient
Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
Marseille
May 12, 2024 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 1
FT Stade Velodrome
Lorient
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 36' goal
  • Samuel Gigot 41' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 49' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 54' goal
  • Pape Gueye 73' yellowcard
  • Michael Murillo 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julien Laporte 17'
  • goal Benjamin Mendy 43'
  • yellowcard Panos Katseris 51'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Bamba 61'
  • yellowcard Laurent Abergel 90'+2'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 15
Lorient
Dec 10, 2023 7.45pm
2
4
HT : 1 4
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
Marseille
  • Vincent Le Goff 14' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Mendy 16' yellowcard
  • Romain Faivre 41' goal
  • Julien Laporte 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Mendy 52' goal
  • Bonke Innocent 62' yellowcard
  • Formose Mendy 71' yellowcard
  • goal Chancel Mbemba 3'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 9'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 21'
  • goal Leonardo Balerdi 33'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 42'
  • yellowcard Renan Lodi 57'
  • yellowcard Samuel Gigot 59'
  • redcard Jonathan Clauss 80'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 30
Lorient
Apr 9, 2023 7.45pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Marseille
Ligue 1 Gameweek 19
Marseille
Jan 14, 2023 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Lorient
  • Sead Kolasinac 38' goal
  • Alexis Sanchez 53' goal
  • Jordan Veretout 59' goal
  • goal Terem Moffi 29'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 36
Lorient
May 8, 2022 4.05pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Marseille
  • Fabien Lemoine 56' yellowcard
  • goal Bamba Dieng 39'
  • goal Matteo Guendouzi 48'
  • yellowcard William Saliba 65'
  • goal Gerson 67'

Form Data

Lyon 2 - 0 Lorient
Lorient 1 - 1 Paris FC
Toulouse 1 - 0 Lorient
Lorient 2 - 1 Lens
Lille 1 - 1 Lorient
Lorient 0 - 0 Nice
Marseille 3 - 1 Metz
Monaco 2 - 1 Marseille
Marseille 1 - 2 Lille
Marseille 1 - 0 Auxerre
Toulouse 0 - 1 Marseille
Marseille 2 - 2 Toulouse