Ligue 1
Apr 26, 2026 2.00pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Noah Doriann Cadiou 26' goal
  • Pablo Pagis 54' yellowcard
  • Aiyegun Tosin 69' yellowcard
  • Arthur Avom 70' yellowcard
  • Sambou Soumano 81' yellowcard
  • Karim Dermane 82' yellowcard
  • Sambou Soumano 82' yellowcard
  • Igor Silva 85' yellowcard
  • goal Sebastian Nanasi 62'
  • yellowcard Andrew Omobamidele 65'
  • yellowcard Martial Godo 67'
  • yellowcard Abdoul Ouattara 67'
  • yellowcard Diego Moreira 76'
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Emegha 85'
  • goal Nathaniel Adjei 90'+2' (OG)
  • goal Andrew Omobamidele 90'+9'

Lorient vs Strasbourg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Lorient

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 4.00pm
Lorient 2 - 0 Marseille
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Bamba Dieng

Strasbourg

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 4.15pm
Strasbourg 0 - 3 Rennes
Goals scored
49
Top scorer
Martial Godo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.58%.

The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result

Lorient 35.68% (-0.04)
Draw 26.58% (+0.01)
Strasbourg 37.74% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.54% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.78% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 25.22% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 50.62% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 49.38% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 28.32% (+0.06)
Under 3.5 71.68% (-0.06)
Over 4.5 15.57% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 84.43% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Lorient 27.88% (-0.02)
Draw 40.58% (+0.02)
Strasbourg 31.55%

Team To Score First

Lorient 42.46% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.1% (-0.04)
Strasbourg 50.44% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 51.5% (-0.15)
Equal 8 12.49% (+0.05)
Under 8 36.01% (+0.11)
Over 9 39.38% (-0.17)
Equal 9 12.12% (+0.03)
Under 9 48.5% (+0.15)
Over 10.5 28.64% (-0.18)
Under 10.5 71.36% (+0.18)

Lorient Goals

Over 1.5 36.2% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 63.8% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 14.06% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 85.94% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.51% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 95.49% (-0.03)

Strasbourg Goals

Over 0.5 70.97% (+0.05)
Under 0.5 29.03% (-0.05)
Over 1.5 38.11% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 61.89% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 15.68% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 84.32% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 5.33% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 94.67% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lorient 35.68%
Draw 26.58%
Strasbourg 37.74%
Lorient
1-0 @ 9.19% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.14%
2-0 @ 5.79% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 3.41%
3-0 @ 2.73% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.2%
Other @ 4.22% (+0.01)
Total : 35.68%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.38% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.1% (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.6% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.29% (+0.01)
Total : 26.58%
Strasbourg
0-1 @ 8.93% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.63%
0-2 @ 6%
1-3 @ 3.74% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 2.79% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.61%
Other @ 5.04% (+0.01)
Total : 37.74%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Dec 14, 2025 4.15pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Andrew Omobamidele 50' yellowcard
Ligue 1 Gameweek 22
Feb 18, 2024 12.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Stade de la Meinau
  • Mouhamadou Diarra 26' yellowcard
  • Frederic Guilbert 51' goal
  • Junior Mwanga 67' yellowcard
  • Angelo Gabriel 87' yellowcard
  • Dilane Bakwa 90'+5' redcard
  • goal Mohamed Bamba 2'
  • goal Mohamed Bamba 45'+2'
  • goal Julien Ponceau 49'
  • yellowcard Isaak Toure 86'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 16
Dec 17, 2023 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Yves Allainmat - Le Moustoir
  • Bamba Dieng 32' yellowcard
  • Bamba Dieng 53' goal
  • Benjamin Mendy 71' yellowcard
  • Isaak Toure 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Dilane Bakwa 14'
  • goal Kevin Gameiro 49'
  • yellowcard Lucas Perrin 68'
  • yellowcard Matz Sels 71'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 38
Jun 3, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Romain Faivre 10' goal
  • Romain Faivre 36' goal
  • goal Jean-Ricner Bellegarde 57'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 15
Nov 13, 2022 4.05pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Habib Diallo 87' goal
  • goal Terem Moffi 5'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
Mar 20, 2022 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Bonke Innocent 22' yellowcard
  • Dango Ouattara 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jean-Ricner Bellegarde 29'
  • yellowcard Lucas Perrin 89'