Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Strasbourg win with a probability of 37.74%. A win for Lorient had a probability of 35.68% and a draw had a probability of 26.58%.
The most likely scoreline for a Strasbourg win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (6%). The likeliest Lorient win was 1-0 (9.19%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.