Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 59.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Lyon had a probability of 18.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.18%) and 2-1 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.67%) , while for a Lyon win it was 0-1 (4.97%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.