Champions League
Apr 28, 2026 8.00pm
Parc des Princes

Paris Saint-Germain vs Bayern Munich - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions

Bayern Munich

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Paris Saint-Germain has a probability of 35.2% and a draw has a probability of 22.08%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (5.75%) and 0-1 (5.58%). The likeliest Paris Saint-Germain win is 2-1 (7%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (8.93%).

Result

Paris Saint-Germain 35.2% (-0.63)
Draw 22.08% (-0.04)
Bayern Munich 42.65% (+0.63)

Both Teams to Score: 

64.72% (-0.41)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.11% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 14.89% (+0.25)
Over 2.5 66.28% (-0.33)
Under 2.5 33.72% (+0.33)
Over 3.5 43.42% (-0.34)
Under 3.5 56.58% (+0.34)
Over 4.5 28.36% (-0.25)
Under 4.5 71.64% (+0.24)

First Half Winner

Paris Saint-Germain 33.62%
Draw 35.22%
Bayern Munich 31.16%

Team To Score First

Paris Saint-Germain 52.37% (-0.04)
No Goal 3.56% (+0.07)
Bayern Munich 44.07% (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 52.65%
Equal 8 10.83%
Under 8 36.52%
Over 9 42.02%
Equal 9 10.63%
Under 9 47.35%
Over 10.5 32.37%
Under 10.5 67.63%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 1.5 43.09% (-0.76)
Under 1.5 56.91% (+0.76)
Over 2.5 21.42% (-0.51)
Under 2.5 78.58% (+0.52)
Over 3.5 8.78% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 91.22% (+0.24)

Bayern Munich Goals

Over 0.5 75.32% (+0.25)
Under 0.5 24.68% (-0.25)
Over 1.5 49.82% (+0.29)
Under 1.5 50.18% (-0.29)
Over 2.5 24.87% (+0.22)
Under 2.5 75.13% (-0.22)
Over 3.5 10.57% (+0.11)
Under 3.5 89.43% (-0.11)

Score analysis

Paris Saint-Germain 35.2%
Draw 22.08%
Bayern Munich 42.64%
Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 5.67% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 4.16% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 3.99% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 3.17% (-0.08)
3-0 @ 3.02% (-0.07)
Other @ 8.19% (-0.23)
Total : 35.2%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.93% (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.54% (-0.06)
0-0 @ 3.56% (+0.07)
3-3 @ 2.46% (-0.05)
Other @ 0.59% (-0.03)
Total : 22.08%
Bayern Munich
1-2 @ 9.49% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 5.75% (+0.16)
0-1 @ 5.58% (+0.14)
1-3 @ 4.53% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 3.97% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 3.34% (+0.10)
Other @ 9.98% (+0.14)
Total : 42.64%

Head to Head

Champions League
Nov 4, 2025 8.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Club World Cup
Jul 5, 2025 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Champions League
Nov 26, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Allianz Arena
  • Kim Min-jae 38' goal
  • Kingsley Coman 67' yellowcard
  • Michael Olise 77' yellowcard
  • Serge Gnabry 84' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ousmane Dembele 37'
  • redcard Ousmane Dembele 57'
  • yellowcard Achraf Hakimi 57'
  • yellowcard Nuno Mendes 71'
  • yellowcard Fabian Ruiz 90'+5'
Champions League
Mar 8, 2023 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 61' goal
  • Serge Gnabry 89' goal
Champions League
Feb 14, 2023 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Kingsley Coman 53'
Champions League
Apr 13, 2021 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Parc des Princes
  • Colin Dagba 55' yellowcard
  • Ander Herrera 90' yellowcard
  • goal Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting 40'
  • yellowcard David Alaba 52'
  • yellowcard Thomas Muller 68'