Ligue 1 Gameweek 29
May 13, 2026 8.00pm
Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last game
May 8, 2026 7.45pm
Lens 1 - 0 Nantes
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Florian Thauvin

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
PSG 1 - 0 Brest
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Ousmane Dembélé

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 39.31%. A win for Lens has a probability of 37.53% and a draw has a probability of 23.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (5.07%) and 1-3 (4.79%). The likeliest Lens win is 2-1 (8.05%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.91%).

Result

Lens 37.53% (+1.58)
Draw 23.16% (+0.02)
Paris Saint-Germain 39.31% (-1.58)

Both Teams to Score: 

67.58% (+0.94)

Goals

Over 1.5 85.5% (+0.52)
Under 1.5 14.5% (-0.51)
Over 2.5 66.48% (+1.00)
Under 2.5 33.52% (-0.99)
Over 3.5 44.69% (+1.19)
Under 3.5 55.31% (-1.19)
Over 4.5 28.87% (+0.95)
Under 4.5 71.13% (-0.94)

First Half Winner

Lens 35.37% (+0.12)
Draw 35.26% (+0.17)
Paris Saint-Germain 29.37% (-0.31)

Team To Score First

Lens 54.41% (+0.58)
No Goal 3.6% (-0.15)
Paris Saint-Germain 41.99% (-0.44)

Corners

Over 8 59.7% (-0.53)
Equal 8 11.41% (+0.09)
Under 8 28.9% (+0.46)
Over 9 47.9% (-0.57)
Equal 9 11.8% (+0.03)
Under 9 40.3% (+0.53)
Over 10.5 36.72% (-0.54)
Under 10.5 63.28% (+0.54)

Lens Goals

Over 1.5 45.4% (+1.95)
Under 1.5 54.6% (-1.95)
Over 2.5 22.18% (+1.52)
Under 2.5 77.82% (-1.53)
Over 3.5 9.05% (+0.80)
Under 3.5 90.95% (-0.79)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 75.02% (-0.82)
Under 0.5 24.98% (+0.81)
Over 1.5 47.63% (-0.72)
Under 1.5 52.37% (+0.72)
Over 2.5 24.23% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 75.77% (+0.43)
Over 3.5 10.29% (-0.16)
Under 3.5 89.71% (+0.15)

Score analysis

Lens 37.53%
Draw 23.15%
Paris Saint-Germain 39.31%
Lens
2-1 @ 8.05% (+0.18)
1-0 @ 5.82% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 4.45% (+0.09)
3-1 @ 4.36% (+0.28)
3-2 @ 3.75% (+0.21)
3-0 @ 2.67% (+0.15)
Other @ 8.43% (+0.73)
Total : 37.53%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.91% (-0.18)
2-2 @ 6.67% (+0.13)
0-0 @ 3.6% (-0.15)
3-3 @ 2.35% (+0.13)
Other @ 0.62% (+0.06)
Total : 23.15%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 8.32% (-0.24)
0-1 @ 5.07% (-0.36)
1-3 @ 4.79% (-0.16)
0-2 @ 4.66% (-0.39)
2-3 @ 4.05% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.28)
Other @ 9.67% (-0.22)
Total : 39.31%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Sep 14, 2025 4.15pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 18, 2025 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Mbala N'Zola 36' goal
  • Deiver Machado 45' yellowcard
  • Adrien Thomasson 61' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Vitinha 29'
  • goal Fabian Ruiz 59'
  • goal Bradley Barcola 86'
  • yellowcard Senny Mayulu 90'
Coupe de France
Dec 22, 2024 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Will Still 58' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 66' goal
  • Abdukodir Khusanov 75' yellowcard
  • Mbala N'Zola 76' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Achraf Hakimi 67'
  • goal Goncalo Ramos 70'
  • yellowcard Marquinhos 75'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Nov 2, 2024 4.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Ousmane Dembele 4' goal
  • Marquinhos 57' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Abdukodir Khusanov 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Gradit 47'
  • yellowcard Will Still 45'+5'
  • redcard Abdukodir Khusanov 60'
  • yellowcard Andy Diouf 62'
  • yellowcard Kevin Danso 86'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 18
Jan 14, 2024 7.45pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Jonathan Gradit 45'+3' redcard
  • goal Bradley Barcola 30'
  • yellowcard Carlos Soler 52'
  • goal Kylian Mbappe 89'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 3
Aug 26, 2023 8.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Marco Asensio 44' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 52' goal
  • Kylian Mbappe 90' goal
  • yellowcard Facundo Medina 19'
  • yellowcard Franck Haise 31'
  • yellowcard Florian Sotoca 42'
  • yellowcard Stijn Spierings 79'
  • yellowcard Deiver Machado 82'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Gradit 87'
  • goal Morgan Guilavogui 90'+5'