Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 8, 2026 7.45pm
Stade Bollaert-Delelis

Lens vs Nantes - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Lens

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 8.05pm
Nice 1 - 1 Lens
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Florian Thauvin

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 2.00pm
Nantes 3 - 0 Marseille
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Matthis Abline

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Lens win with a probability of 73.5%. A draw has a probability of 17.16% and a win for Nantes has a probability of 9.33%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lens win is 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (11.06%) and 3-0 (8.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (7.82%) , while for a Nantes win it is 0-1 (3.35%).

Result

Lens 73.5% (-0.04)
Draw 17.16% (+0.04)
Nantes 9.33% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.67% (+0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.39% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 19.61% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 59.15% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 40.81% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 38.8% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 61.2% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 27.97% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 72.03% (-0.04)

First Half Winner

Lens 55.42% (-0.08)
Draw 34.23% (+0.06)
Nantes 10.35% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Lens 73.57% (-0.06)
No Goal 5.19%
Nantes 21.24% (+0.05)

Corners

Over 8 62.47%
Equal 8 11.21%
Under 8 26.32%
Over 9 50.6%
Equal 9 11.87%
Under 9 37.53%
Over 10.5 39.12%
Under 10.5 60.88%

Lens Goals

Over 1.5 67.47%
Under 1.5 32.53%
Over 2.5 42.19% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 57.81% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 22.82% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 77.18% (-0.03)

Nantes Goals

Over 0.5 39.92% (+0.04)
Under 0.5 60.08% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 13.14% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 86.86% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 3.17% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 96.83% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 0.76% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 99.24% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Lens 73.5%
Draw 17.16%
Nantes 9.33%
Lens
2-0 @ 12.24% (-0.03)
1-0 @ 11.06% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 8.93% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 8.85%
3-1 @ 6.76%
3-2 @ 3.01%
Other @ 22.65% (+0.02)
Total : 73.5%
Draw
1-1 @ 7.82% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.19%
2-2 @ 3.31%
Other @ 0.17% (+0.02)
Total : 17.16%
Nantes
0-1 @ 3.35%
1-2 @ 2.47%
0-2 @ 1.18% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 9.33%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Dec 6, 2025 4.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Youssef El-Arabi 38' goal
  • Dehmaine Assoumani 83' yellowcard
  • 83' yellowcard
  • 84' yellowcard
  • goal Florian Thauvin 34'
  • goal Wesley Said 81'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 23
Feb 23, 2025 2.00pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Louis Leroux 36' goal
  • Kelvin Amian 58' yellowcard
  • Moses Simon 60' goal
  • Anthony Lopes 82' yellowcard
  • Meschak Elia 90'+5' goal
  • yellowcard Jonathan Gradit 28'
  • yellowcard Facundo Medina 45'+1'
  • goal Neil El Aynaoui 65'
  • yellowcard Adrien Thomasson 66'
  • redcard Mbala N'Zola 70'
  • yellowcard Angelo Fulgini 90'+8'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 11
Nov 9, 2024 6.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade Ferdi Petit
  • Przemyslaw Frankowski 21' goal
  • Facundo Medina 35' yellowcard
  • Remy Labeau 45'+5' yellowcard
  • Hamzat Ojediran 86' goal
  • Adrien Thomasson 90' goal
  • goal Moses Simon 36'
  • goal Nicolas Cozza 71'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 8.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Tino Kadewere 27' yellowcard
  • Douglas 61' yellowcard
  • goal David Costa 48'
  • yellowcard Ruben Aguilar 81'
  • yellowcard Kevin Danso 82'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Oct 28, 2023 8.00pm
4
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Bollaert-Delelis
  • Florian Sotoca 27' goal
  • Facundo Medina 58' goal
  • Elye Wahi 68' yellowcard
  • Florian Sotoca 72' goal
  • Neil El Aynaoui 89' goal
  • yellowcard Eray Comert 68'
  • yellowcard Jean-Kevin Duverne 83'
Coupe de France
Mar 1, 2023 5.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Andy Delort 31' goal
  • Andy Delort 59' goal
  • goal Seko Fofana 28'