Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 65.17%. A draw had a probability of 20.85% and a win for Nantes had a probability of 13.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.95%) and 2-1 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.73%) , while for a Nantes win it was 0-1 (5.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.