Ligue 1
May 2, 2026 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Mathieu Acapandié 26' yellowcard
  • Ignatius Ganago 50' goal
  • Rémy Cabella 54' goal
  • Matthis Abline 58' goal
  • Francis Coquelin 69' yellowcard
  • Louis Leroux 69' yellowcard
  • Uros Radakovic 79' yellowcard
  • Ali Youssef 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Israel Ange Lago 46'
  • yellowcard Igor Paixão 46'
  • yellowcard Amine Gouiri 65'
  • yellowcard Hilan Hamzaoui Slimani 88'
  • yellowcard Ugo Lamare El Kadmiri 90'+4'

Nantes vs Marseille - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Nantes

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 4.15pm
Rennes 2 - 1 Nantes
Goals scored
29
Top scorer
Matthis Abline

Marseille

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 7.45pm
Marseille 1 - 1 Nice
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Amine Gouiri

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 54.58%. A win for Nantes had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.1%) and 0-2 (7.7%). The likeliest Nantes win was 2-1 (6.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.67%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood.

Result

Nantes 23.45%
Draw 21.97% (-0.04)
Marseille 54.58%

Both Teams to Score: 

59.8%

Goals

Over 1.5 82.52% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 17.48% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 62.13%
Under 2.5 37.87%
Over 3.5 39.18%
Under 3.5 60.82%
Over 4.5 24.25% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 75.75% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Nantes 19.32%
Draw 36.2%
Marseille 44.48%

Team To Score First

Nantes 31.99%
No Goal 4.41% (-0.01)
Marseille 63.6% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 46.9%
Equal 8 12.21%
Under 8 40.89%
Over 9 35.5%
Equal 9 11.4%
Under 9 53.1%
Over 10.5 25.71%
Under 10.5 74.29%

Nantes Goals

Over 1.5 30.24% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 69.76% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 11.25% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 88.75% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 3.54%
Under 3.5 96.46%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5 82.93%
Under 0.5 17.07%
Over 1.5 56.58%
Under 1.5 43.42%
Over 2.5 30.62% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 69.38% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 13.34%
Under 3.5 86.66%

Score analysis

Nantes 23.44%
Draw 21.97%
Marseille 54.59%
Nantes
2-1 @ 6.08%
1-0 @ 4.97%
2-0 @ 3.01% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 2.5% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.2%
3-0 @ 1.43%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 23.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.67% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.02%
0-0 @ 4.41% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.58%
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 21.97%
Marseille
1-2 @ 10.04%
0-1 @ 8.1%
0-2 @ 7.7% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 6.42%
0-3 @ 5.4%
2-3 @ 3.88% (+0.01)
Other @ 13.05%
Total : 54.59%

Head to Head

Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Jan 4, 2026 2.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stade Vélodrome
  • Bilal Nadir 31' yellowcard
  • Amir Murillo 46' yellowcard
  • Matt O'Riley 61' yellowcard
  • Hamed Junior Traoré 73' yellowcard
  • Amine Gouiri 73' yellowcard
  • goal Fabien Centonze 31'
  • yellowcard Sékou Doucoure 46'
  • yellowcard Louis Leroux 58'
  • yellowcard Rémy Cabella 58'
  • yellowcard Johann Lepenant 63'
  • yellowcard Herba Guirassy 82'
  • yellowcard Rémy Cabella 88'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 24
Mar 2, 2025 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Adrien Rabiot 11' goal
  • Pierre-Emile Hojbjerg 37' yellowcard
  • Amine Gouiri 73' goal
  • Mason Greenwood 77' goal
  • yellowcard Kelvin Amian 51'
  • yellowcard Louis Leroux 75'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Tino Kadewere 39' goal
  • Nicolas Pallois 90'+7' yellowcard
  • goal Neal Maupay 24'
  • goal Mason Greenwood 61'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Balerdi 90'+3'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 25
Mar 10, 2024 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stade Velodrome
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 17' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 74' yellowcard
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 79' goal
  • Chancel Mbemba 90'+2' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Douglas 27'
  • yellowcard Kelvin Amian 45'+1'
  • yellowcard Jocelyn Gourvennec 80'
  • yellowcard Moussa Sissoko 90'+6'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 4
Sep 1, 2023 8.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stade de la Beaujoire - Louis Fonteneau
  • Bastien Meupiyou 9' redcard
  • Mostafa Mohamed 39' goal
  • Pierre Aristouy 69' yellowcard
  • goal Ismaila Sarr 4'
  • yellowcard Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 26'
  • yellowcard Valentin Rongier 70'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 21
Feb 1, 2023 6.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • goal Joao Victor 57' (OG)
  • goal Azzedine Ounahi 90'+3'