Ligue 1
May 17, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stade Jean Bouin
  • Maxime Lopez 67' yellowcard
  • Ilan Kebbal 67' yellowcard
  • Alimami Gory 67' yellowcard
  • Luca Koleosho 68' yellowcard
  • Alimami Gory 76' goal
  • Vincent Marchetti 76' yellowcard
  • Vincent Marchetti 77' yellowcard
  • Hamari Traoré 84' yellowcard
  • Alimami Gory 90'+4' goal
  • yellowcard Gonçalo Ramos 27'
  • yellowcard Pedro Fernández 46'
  • goal Bradley Barcola 50'
  • yellowcard Kang-in Lee 58'
  • yellowcard Senny Mayulu 58'
  • yellowcard Ibrahim Mbaye 58'
  • yellowcard João Neves 68'

Paris FC vs Paris Saint-Germain - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Paris FC

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
Rennes 2 - 1 Paris FC
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Marshall Munetsi

Paris Saint-Germain

All competitions
Last game
May 13, 2026 8.00pm
Lens 0 - 2 PSG
Goals scored
74
Top scorer
Ousmane Dembélé

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 60.94%. A draw had a probability of 20.44% and a win for Paris FC had a probability of 18.65%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 10.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.16%) and 0-1 (8.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.03%) , while for a Paris FC win it was 2-1 (4.98%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result

Paris FC 18.65% (-1.07)
Draw 20.44% (+0.11)
Paris Saint-Germain 60.94% (+0.99)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.62% (-0.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.37% (+0.19)
Under 1.5 17.63% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 62.03% (+0.15)
Under 2.5 37.96% (-0.15)
Over 3.5 39.84% (+0.32)
Under 3.5 60.16% (-0.32)
Over 4.5 26.19% (+0.29)
Under 4.5 73.81% (-0.29)

First Half Winner

Paris FC 21.44% (+0.82)
Draw 33.92% (-1.08)
Paris Saint-Germain 44.64% (+0.28)

Team To Score First

Paris FC 36.68% (+3.15)
No Goal 4.61% (-0.11)
Paris Saint-Germain 58.71% (-3.04)

Corners

Over 8 63.69% (+0.59)
Equal 8 10.59% (-0.42)
Under 8 25.72% (-0.18)
Over 9 52.39% (+1.00)
Equal 9 11.3% (-0.40)
Under 9 36.31% (-0.59)
Over 10.5 41.31% (+1.31)
Under 10.5 58.69% (-1.31)

Paris FC Goals

Over 1.5 25.15% (-0.86)
Under 1.5 74.85% (+0.85)
Over 2.5 9.04% (-0.42)
Under 2.5 90.96% (+0.41)
Over 3.5 2.94% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.06% (+0.02)

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5 85.49% (+0.86)
Under 0.5 14.51% (-0.86)
Over 1.5 60.89% (+0.85)
Under 1.5 39.11% (-0.85)
Over 2.5 34.76% (+0.94)
Under 2.5 65.24% (-0.95)
Over 3.5 16.21% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 83.79% (-0.49)

Score analysis

Paris FC 18.65%
Draw 20.44%
Paris Saint-Germain 60.95%
Paris FC
2-1 @ 4.98% (-0.10)
1-0 @ 4.31% (-0.13)
2-0 @ 2.14% (-0.27)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.16)
3-1 @ 1.84% (-0.09)
Other @ 2.6% (-0.13)
Total : 18.65%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.03% (+0.14)
2-2 @ 4.98% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 4.61% (-0.11)
3-3 @ 1.48% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.34% (+0.12)
Total : 20.44%
Paris Saint-Germain
1-2 @ 10.1% (-0.05)
0-2 @ 9.16% (+0.18)
0-1 @ 8.75% (+0.08)
1-3 @ 6.82% (+0.20)
0-3 @ 6.24% (+0.20)
2-3 @ 4.01% (+0.02)
Other @ 15.87% (+0.38)
Total : 60.95%

Head to Head

Coupe de France
Jan 12, 2026 8.10pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Ousmane Dembele 64' yellowcard
  • Nuno Mendes 64' yellowcard
  • Ousmane Dembélé  64' yellowcard
  • Desire Doue 65' yellowcard
  • Désiré Doué  65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Ikone 40'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Ikoné 40'
  • yellowcard Thibault De Smet 46'
  • yellowcard Ilan Kebbal 46'
  • yellowcard Luca Koleosho 61'
  • goal Jonathan Ikone 74'
  • goal Jonathan Ikoné 74'
Ligue 1 Gameweek 17
Jan 4, 2026 7.45pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Désiré Doué 45' goal
  • Ousmane Dembélé 53' goal
  • Marquinhos 70' yellowcard
  • Bradley Barcola 70' yellowcard
  • Gonçalo Ramos 70' yellowcard
  • Lucas Hernández 80' yellowcard
  • Noah Nsoki 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Willem Geubbels 51'
  • yellowcard Mathieu Cafaro 68'
  • yellowcard Vincent Marchetti 77'
  • yellowcard Julien Lopez 89'
  • yellowcard Tuomas Ollila 89'
  • yellowcard Mohamed Benoit-Dao 89'
Club Friendlies 1
Dec 16, 2022 10.30am
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Parc des Princes
  • Nordi Mukiele 16' goal
  • Ismael Gharbi 52' goal
  • goal Younes El Hannach 61' (OG)