Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
Roazhon Park

Rennes vs Paris FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 7.45pm
Lyon 4 - 2 Rennes
Goals scored
56
Top scorer
Esteban Lepaul

Paris FC

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 4.15pm
Paris FC 4 - 0 Brest
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Marshall Munetsi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Rennes win with a probability of 52.19%. A draw has a probability of 25.09% and a win for Paris FC has a probability of 22.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.83%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.79%) , while for a Paris FC win it is 0-1 (7.12%).

Result

Rennes 52.19%
Draw 25.09%
Paris FC 22.75%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.99% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.21% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 26.79% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 48.8% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 51.2% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.32% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72.68% (-0.03)
Over 4.5 15.57% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.43% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Rennes 42.03%
Draw 41.54%
Paris FC 16.43%

Team To Score First

Rennes 61.06%
No Goal 7.66%
Paris FC 31.28%

Corners

Over 8 61.71% (-0.11)
Equal 8 11.13%
Under 8 27.16% (+0.11)
Over 9 50.01% (-0.10)
Equal 9 11.7% (-0.02)
Under 9 38.29% (+0.11)
Over 10.5 38.75% (-0.08)
Under 10.5 61.25% (+0.08)

Rennes Goals

Over 1.5 47.5% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 52.5% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 21.98% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 78.02% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 8.29%
Under 3.5 91.71%

Paris FC Goals

Over 0.5 57.99% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 42.01% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 24.18% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 75.82% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 7.62% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 92.38% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.86%
Under 3.5 98.14%

Score analysis

Rennes 52.18%
Draw 25.1%
Paris FC 22.75%
Rennes
1-0 @ 12.04% (-0.02)
2-1 @ 9.83%
2-0 @ 9.34% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.07% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 4.81%
3-2 @ 2.9%
Other @ 8.19%
Total : 52.18%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.79% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 7.66%
2-2 @ 4.64% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 25.1%
Paris FC
0-1 @ 7.12%
1-2 @ 5.74%
0-2 @ 3.28% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.05%
2-3 @ 1.71% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 22.75%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 7, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT