Ligue 1 Gameweek 33
May 10, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT Roazhon Park
  • Arnaud Nordin 66' yellowcard
  • Breel Embolo 67' yellowcard
  • Estéban Lepaul 74' goal
  • Breel Embolo 75' goal
  • Alidu Seidu 76' yellowcard
  • 76' yellowcard
  • Djaoui Cissé 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Maxime Lopez 46'
  • goal Willem Geubbels 53'
  • yellowcard Ciro Immobile 71'
  • yellowcard Adama Camara 76'
  • yellowcard Jonathan Ikoné 77'
  • yellowcard Vincent Marchetti 83'

Rennes vs Paris FC - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Rennes

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 7.45pm
Lyon 4 - 2 Rennes
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Esteban Lepaul

Paris FC

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 4.15pm
Paris FC 4 - 0 Brest
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Marshall Munetsi

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 52.37%. A draw had a probability of 25.04% and a win for Paris FC had a probability of 22.56%.

The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.84%) and 2-0 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%) , while for a Paris FC win it was 0-1 (7.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood.

Result

Rennes 52.37%
Draw 25.04%
Paris FC 22.56% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

51.03% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.27% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 26.73% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 48.89% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 51.14% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 27.4% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 72.6% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.66%
Under 4.5 84.34%

First Half Winner

Rennes 42.02%
Draw 41.58%
Paris FC 16.4%

Team To Score First

Rennes 61.1%
No Goal 7.62%
Paris FC 31.28%

Corners

Over 8 62.04%
Equal 8 11.12%
Under 8 26.84%
Over 9 50.32%
Equal 9 11.72%
Under 9 37.96%
Over 10.5 39.01%
Under 10.5 60.99%

Rennes Goals

Over 1.5 47.7%
Under 1.5 52.3%
Over 2.5 22.16%
Under 2.5 77.84%
Over 3.5 8.4%
Under 3.5 91.6%

Paris FC Goals

Over 0.5 57.82% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 42.18% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 24.08% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 75.92% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 7.58% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 92.42% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.85% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.15% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Rennes 52.37%
Draw 25.05%
Paris FC 22.56%
Rennes
1-0 @ 12.03% (+0.02)
2-1 @ 9.84%
2-0 @ 9.37%
3-1 @ 5.08%
3-0 @ 4.85%
3-2 @ 2.91%
Other @ 8.29% (-0.02)
Total : 52.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.76%
0-0 @ 7.62%
2-2 @ 4.64%
Other @ 0.11% (+0.01)
Total : 25.05%
Paris FC
0-1 @ 7.06% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.24% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.03% (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.69%
0-3 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.74%
Total : 22.56%

Head to Head

Ligue 1
Nov 7, 2025 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT