Club Friendlies 3
Jul 25, 2026 8.00pm
Estádio Do Dragão

Porto vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 22, 2026 8.00pm
Gil Vicente 1 - 0 Porto

Aston Villa

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 21, 2026 7.30pm
Walsall 0 - 5 Aston Villa

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 47.13%. A win for Aston Villa has a probability of 26.57% and a draw has a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.56%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Aston Villa win is 0-1 (7.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.83%).

Result

Porto 47.13% (+0.16)
Draw 26.3%
Aston Villa 26.57% (-0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.1% (+0.11)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.44% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 26.56% (-0.12)
Over 2.5 48.58% (+0.18)
Under 2.5 51.42% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 27.33% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 72.67% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 15.47% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 84.53% (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Porto 34.67% (+0.17)
Draw 42.14% (-0.09)
Aston Villa 23.2% (-0.07)

Team To Score First

Porto 54.29% (+0.11)
No Goal 8.04% (-0.02)
Aston Villa 37.67% (-0.09)

Corners

Over 8 56.5% (+0.22)
Equal 8 11.45%
Under 8 32.05% (-0.22)
Over 9 44.95% (+0.20)
Equal 9 11.55% (+0.03)
Under 9 43.5% (-0.22)
Over 10.5 34.24% (+0.15)
Under 10.5 65.76% (-0.15)

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 43.42% (+0.20)
Under 1.5 56.58% (-0.20)
Over 2.5 19.24% (+0.17)
Under 2.5 80.76% (-0.18)
Over 3.5 7.05% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 92.95% (-0.07)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 61.98% (-0.06)
Under 0.5 38.02% (+0.06)
Over 1.5 27.41% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 72.59% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 9.63% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 90.37% (+0.05)
Over 3.5 2.91% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 97.09% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Porto 47.13%
Draw 26.31%
Aston Villa 26.57%
Porto
1-0 @ 10.95% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 9.56% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 8.13% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.6% (+0.02)
3-0 @ 3.87% (+0.04)
3-2 @ 2.98% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.04% (+0.08)
Total : 47.13%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.83% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.69% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 26.31%
Aston Villa
0-1 @ 7.58% (-0.08)
1-2 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 3.9% (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.58% (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.8% (-0.03)
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 2.9% (-0.03)
Total : 26.57%