Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 42.01%. A win for Liverpool had a probability of 35.1% and a draw had a probability of 22.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.27%) and 2-0 (5.32%). The likeliest Liverpool win was 1-2 (7.59%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.5%).