Premier League Gameweek 37
May 15, 2026 8.00pm
Villa Park

Aston Villa vs Liverpool - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 2.00pm
Burnley 2 - 2 Aston Villa
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Ollie Watkins

Liverpool

All competitions
Last game
May 9, 2026 12.30pm
Liverpool 1 - 1 Chelsea
Goals scored
60
Top scorer
Hugo Ekitike

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Liverpool has a probability of 34.84% and a draw has a probability of 23.02%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (6.38%) and 2-0 (5.36%). The likeliest Liverpool win is 1-2 (7.6%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (9.53%).

Result

Aston Villa 42.14% (-0.90)
Draw 23.02% (+0.17)
Liverpool 34.84% (+0.73)

Both Teams to Score: 

65.65% (-0.26)

Goals

Over 1.5 84.1% (-0.30)
Under 1.5 15.9% (+0.30)
Over 2.5 65.05% (-0.36)
Under 2.5 34.95% (+0.36)
Over 3.5 43.97% (-0.14)
Under 3.5 56.03% (+0.14)
Over 4.5 28% (-0.27)
Under 4.5 72% (+0.27)

First Half Winner

Aston Villa 33.44% (-0.11)
Draw 42.09% (-0.02)
Liverpool 24.47% (+0.12)

Team To Score First

Aston Villa 52.81% (-0.49)
No Goal 4.11% (+0.12)
Liverpool 43.08% (+0.38)

Corners

Over 8 56.7% (+0.50)
Equal 8 11.76% (-0.01)
Under 8 31.54% (-0.50)
Over 9 44.82% (+0.47)
Equal 9 11.89% (+0.05)
Under 9 43.3% (-0.50)
Over 10.5 33.81% (+0.39)
Under 10.5 66.19% (-0.38)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 1.5 48.96% (-0.83)
Under 1.5 51.04% (+0.83)
Over 2.5 24.82% (-0.68)
Under 2.5 75.18% (+0.69)
Over 3.5 10.76% (-0.36)
Under 3.5 89.24% (+0.36)

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 70.77% (+0.49)
Under 0.5 29.23% (-0.49)
Over 1.5 42.69% (+0.60)
Under 1.5 57.31% (-0.60)
Over 2.5 20.33% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 79.67% (-0.35)
Over 3.5 7.75% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 92.25% (-0.10)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 42.14%
Draw 23.02%
Liverpool 34.83%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 8.25% (-0.17)
1-0 @ 6.38% (+0.04)
2-0 @ 5.36% (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.9% (-0.09)
3-2 @ 3.88% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.05% (-0.21)
Other @ 10.32% (-0.36)
Total : 42.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.53%
2-2 @ 6.71% (+0.05)
0-0 @ 4.11% (+0.12)
3-3 @ 2.23% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.44%
Total : 23.02%
Liverpool
1-2 @ 7.6% (+0.09)
0-1 @ 5.4% (+0.15)
1-3 @ 4.36% (+0.17)
0-2 @ 4.17% (+0.17)
2-3 @ 3.82% (+0.05)
0-3 @ 2.17% (+0.03)
Other @ 7.31% (+0.09)
Total : 34.83%

Head to Head

Premier League
Nov 1, 2025 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Premier League Gameweek 29
Feb 19, 2025 7.30pm
2
2
HT : 2 1
FT Villa Park
  • Axel Disasi 23' yellowcard
  • Youri Tielemans 38' goal
  • Ollie Watkins 45'+3' goal
  • goal Mohamed Salah 29'
  • goal Trent Alexander-Arnold 61'
Premier League Gameweek 11
Nov 9, 2024 8.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Anfield
  • Darwin Nunez 20' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 84' goal
  • yellowcard Morgan Rogers 34'
  • yellowcard Youri Tielemans 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Boubacar Kamara 76'
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 13, 2024 8.00pm
3
3
HT : 1 2
FT Villa Park
  • Youri Tielemans 12' goal
  • John McGinn 70' yellowcard
  • Jhon Duran 85' goal
  • Unai Emery 85' yellowcard
  • Jhon Duran 88' goal
  • goal Emiliano Martinez 2' (OG)
  • goal Cody Gakpo 23'
  • yellowcard Harvey Elliott 38'
  • goal Jarell Quansah 48'
Premier League Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 2.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Anfield
  • Dominik Szoboszlai 3' goal
  • Matty Cash 22' goal
  • Mohamed Salah 55' goal
  • yellowcard Boubacar Kamara 26'
Premier League Gameweek 37
May 20, 2023 3.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Roberto Firmino 89' goal
  • goal Jacob Ramsey 27'