Europa League
Freiburg
May 20, 2026 8.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Beşiktaş Park
Aston Villa
  • Lucas Höler 61' yellowcard
  • Max Rosenfelder 61' yellowcard
  • Derry Scherhant 73' yellowcard
  • Jordy Makengo 73' yellowcard
  • Jordy Makengo 74' yellowcard
  • Christian Günter 86' yellowcard
  • goal Youri Tielemans 41'
  • goal Emiliano Buendía 45'+3'
  • goal Morgan Rogers 58'
  • yellowcard Amadou Onana 66'
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 81'
  • yellowcard Jadon Sancho 81'
  • yellowcard Ian Maatsen 82'
  • yellowcard Jadon Sancho 82'
  • yellowcard Douglas Luiz 88'
  • yellowcard Tyrone Mings 88'

Freiburg vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Aston Villa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.9%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.28%) and 0-2 (6.17%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 2-1 (7.31%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.31%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

Freiburg 31.85% ▲ (+0.31)
Draw 23.3% ▼ (-0.25)
Aston Villa 44.9%

Both Teams to Score: 

62.65% ▲ (+1.36)

Goals

Over 1.5 82.17% ▲ (+0.94)
Under 1.5 17.83% ▼ (-0.94)
Over 2.5 61.35% ▲ (+1.61)
Under 2.5 38.65% ▼ (-1.61)
Over 3.5 39.65% ▲ (+1.95)
Under 3.5 60.35% ▼ (-1.95)
Over 4.5 24.6% ▲ (+1.73)
Under 4.5 75.4% ▼ (-1.72)

Freiburg Goals

Over 1.5 38.02% ▲ (+1.03)
Under 1.5 61.98% ▼ (-1.03)
Over 2.5 16.23% ▲ (+0.92)
Under 2.5 83.77% ▼ (-0.92)
Over 3.5 5.75% ▲ (+0.54)
Under 3.5 94.25% ▼ (-0.54)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 77.69% ▲ (+0.18)
Under 0.5 22.31% ▼ (-0.18)
Over 1.5 49.28% ▲ (+0.88)
Under 1.5 50.72% ▼ (-0.88)
Over 2.5 24.85% ▲ (+1.03)
Under 2.5 75.15% ▼ (-1.02)
Over 3.5 10.49% ▲ (+0.77)
Under 3.5 89.51% ▼ (-0.77)

Score analysis

Freiburg 31.84%
Draw 23.3%
Aston Villa 44.9%
Freiburg
2-1 @ 7.31% ▼ (-0.08)
1-0 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.25)
2-0 @ 4.34% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 3.51% ▲ (+0.08)
3-2 @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.16)
3-0 @ 2.03% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 5.39% ▲ (+0.47)
Total : 31.84%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.31% ▼ (-0.33)
2-2 @ 6.36% ▲ (+0.11)
0-0 @ 4.42% ▼ (-0.25)
3-3 @ 1.85% ▲ (+0.16)
Other @ 0.36% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 23.3%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 8.81% ▼ (-0.16)
0-1 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.39)
0-2 @ 6.17% ▼ (-0.26)
1-3 @ 5.18% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.17)
0-3 @ 3.55% ▼ (-0.12)
Other @ 10.13% ▲ (+0.72)
Total : 44.9%

Form Data

Freiburg 4 - 1 RB Leipzig
Hamburger SV 3 - 2 Freiburg
Freiburg 3 - 1 Braga
Freiburg 1 - 1 Wolfsburg
Braga 2 - 1 Freiburg
Dortmund 4 - 0 Freiburg
Aston Villa 4 - 2 Liverpool
Burnley 2 - 2 Aston Villa
Aston Villa 4 - 0 Nott'm Forest
Aston Villa 1 - 2 Spurs
Nott'm Forest 1 - 0 Aston Villa
Fulham 1 - 0 Aston Villa

Build-up

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