Europa League
May 20, 2026 8.00pm
Beşiktaş Park

Freiburg vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Aston Villa

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.95%. A win for Freiburg has a probability of 31.5% and a draw has a probability of 23.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is 1-2 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.64%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Freiburg win is 2-1 (7.36%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.61%).

Result

Freiburg 31.5% (-0.25)
Draw 23.55% (+0.16)
Aston Villa 44.95% (+0.16)

Both Teams to Score: 

61.45% (-0.60)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.36% (-0.35)
Under 1.5 18.64% (+0.36)
Over 2.5 59.9% (-0.71)
Under 2.5 40.1% (+0.71)
Over 3.5 37.9% (-0.81)
Under 3.5 62.1% (+0.86)
Over 4.5 23.06% (-0.72)
Under 4.5 76.94% (+0.71)

Freiburg Goals

Over 1.5 37.07% (-0.53)
Under 1.5 62.93% (+0.53)
Over 2.5 15.38% (-0.44)
Under 2.5 84.62% (+0.44)
Over 3.5 5.26% (-0.25)
Under 3.5 94.74% (+0.25)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 77.61% (+0.07)
Under 0.5 22.39% (-0.06)
Over 1.5 48.57% (-0.23)
Under 1.5 51.43% (+0.23)
Over 2.5 23.98% (-0.34)
Under 2.5 76.02% (+0.34)
Over 3.5 9.81% (-0.29)
Under 3.5 90.19% (+0.29)

Score analysis

Freiburg 31.51%
Draw 23.56%
Aston Villa 44.96%
Freiburg
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 6.39% (+0.11)
2-0 @ 4.41% (+0.04)
3-1 @ 3.43% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.94% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.03% (-0.03)
Other @ 4.95% (-0.23)
Total : 31.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.61% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 6.28% (-0.05)
0-0 @ 4.64% (+0.13)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.07)
Other @ 0.31% (-0.03)
Total : 23.56%
Aston Villa
1-2 @ 8.96% (+0.08)
0-1 @ 7.64% (+0.19)
0-2 @ 6.41% (+0.16)
1-3 @ 5.15% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 3.66% (+0.07)
2-3 @ 3.64% (-0.07)
Other @ 9.5% (-0.27)
Total : 44.96%