Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
May 10, 2026 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 1 1
FT Volksparkstadion
Freiburg
  • Bakery Jatta 14' goal
  • Luka Vuskovic 64' goal
  • Fabio Baldé 65' yellowcard
  • Rayan Philippe 65' yellowcard
  • Fabio Baldé 67' goal
  • Yussuf Poulsen 80' yellowcard
  • S. Nandja 90'+6' yellowcard
  • 90'+6' yellowcard
  • Louis Pepe Lemke 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Igor Matanovic 16'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Höfler 58'
  • yellowcard Jordy Makengo 58'
  • yellowcard Jordy Makengo 59'
  • yellowcard Philipp Lienhart 68'
  • yellowcard Derry Scherhant 68'
  • yellowcard Anthony Jung 70'
  • yellowcard Derry Scherhant 70'
  • yellowcard Anthony Jung 71'
  • goal Igor Matanovic 87'

Hamburger SV vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 2.30pm
Frankfurt 1 - 2 Hamburger SV
Goals scored
38
Top scorer
Fabio Vieira

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 6.30pm
Freiburg 1 - 1 Wolfsburg
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Igor Matanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 39.34%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 35.16% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.27%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (8.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result

Hamburger SV 39.34% ▼ (-0.26)
Draw 25.5% ▲ (+0.06)
Freiburg 35.16% ▲ (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.92% ▼ (-0.20)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.46% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 1.5 22.54% ▲ (+0.17)
Over 2.5 54.33% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 2.5 45.67% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 31.56% ▼ (-0.24)
Under 3.5 68.44% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 4.5 17.4% ▼ (-0.18)
Under 4.5 82.6% ▲ (+0.18)

First Half Winner

Hamburger SV 31.74%
Draw 41.57%
Freiburg 26.68%

Team To Score First

Hamburger SV 49.19% ▼ (-0.04)
No Goal 5.99% ▲ (+0.07)
Freiburg 44.82% ▼ (-0.04)

Corners

Over 8 56.81%
Equal 8 11.98%
Under 8 31.21%
Over 9 44.68%
Equal 9 12.13%
Under 9 43.19%
Over 10.5 33.46%
Under 10.5 66.54%

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 1.5 41.51% ▼ (-0.34)
Under 1.5 58.49% ▲ (+0.34)
Over 2.5 17.33% ▼ (-0.25)
Under 2.5 82.67% ▲ (+0.24)
Over 3.5 5.9% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 3.5 94.1% ▲ (+0.12)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 70.49% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 0.5 29.51% ▼ (-0.09)
Over 1.5 37.78% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 62.22% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 15.22% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 84.78% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 4.64%
Under 3.5 95.36%

Score analysis

Hamburger SV 39.33%
Draw 25.5%
Freiburg 35.17%
Hamburger SV
2-1 @ 8.85% ▼ (-0.04)
1-0 @ 8.58% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 6.27% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.23% ▼ (-0.04)
3-0 @ 3.01% ▼ (-0.04)
3-2 @ 2.73% ▼ (-0.05)
Other @ 5.66% ▼ (-0.13)
Total : 39.33%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.66% ▲ (+0.03)
2-2 @ 6.15% ▼ (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.99% ▲ (+0.07)
3-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 25.5%
Freiburg
1-2 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.04)
0-1 @ 7.97% ▲ (+0.09)
0-2 @ 5.2% ▲ (+0.07)
1-3 @ 3.78% ▲ (+0.01)
2-3 @ 2.91% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.43% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 4.4%
Total : 35.17%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Freiburg
Jan 10, 2026 2.30pm
Europa-Park Stadion
Hamburger SV
DFB-Pokal
Freiburg
Oct 30, 2024 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
Hamburger SV
  • Matthias Ginter 19' goal
  • Vincenzo Grifo 44' goal
  • goal Jonas Meffert 51'
  • yellowcard William Mikelbrencis 81'
Club Friendlies 1
Freiburg
Jan 13, 2023 2.00pm
6
2
HT : 4 2
FT TBC
Hamburger SV
  • Vincenzo Grifo 7' goal
  • Manuel Gulde 10' goal
  • Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 12' goal
  • Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 14' goal
  • Jeong Woo-yeong 87' goal
  • Nils Petersen 107' goal
  • goal Robert Glatzel 4'
  • goal Robert Glatzel 32'
DFB-Pokal
Hamburger SV
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT Volksparkstadion
Freiburg
  • Jonas Meffert 37' yellowcard
  • Ludovit Reis 48' yellowcard
  • Mikkel Kaufmann 75' yellowcard
  • Robert Glatzel 88' goal
  • Moritz Heyer 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Nils Petersen 11'
  • goal Nicolas Hofler 17'
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 35'
  • yellowcard Christian Gunter 57'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Hofler 63'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 72'
  • yellowcard Noah Weisshaupt 90'+3'
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Apr 21, 2018 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)
Freiburg
  • Matti Steinmann 43' yellowcard
  • Lewis Holtby 54' goal
  • Albin Ekdal 82' yellowcard
  • Gideon Jung 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caglar Soyuncu 5'
  • yellowcard Lukas Kubler 58'
  • redcard Caglar Soyuncu 71'
Bundesliga
Freiburg
Dec 1, 2017 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion (Freiburg im Breisgau)
Hamburger SV
  • Pascal Stenzel 33' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Hofler 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dennis Diekmeier 57'
  • yellowcard Bobby Wood 62'
  • yellowcard Gideon Jung 84'

Form Data

Frankfurt 1 - 2 Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV 1 - 2 Hoffenheim
Werder Bremen 3 - 1 Hamburger SV
Stuttgart 4 - 0 Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV 1 - 1 Augsburg
Dortmund 3 - 2 Hamburger SV
Freiburg 3 - 1 Braga
Freiburg 1 - 1 Wolfsburg
Braga 2 - 1 Freiburg
Dortmund 4 - 0 Freiburg
Stuttgart 2 - 1 Freiburg
Freiburg 2 - 1 Heidenheim