Bundesliga Gameweek 33
May 10, 2026 2.30pm
Volksparkstadion

Hamburger SV vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
May 2, 2026 2.30pm
Frankfurt 1 - 2 Hamburger SV
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Fabio Vieira

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
May 3, 2026 6.30pm
Freiburg 1 - 1 Wolfsburg
Goals scored
43
Top scorer
Igor Matanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Freiburg has a probability of 35.05% and a draw has a probability of 25.55%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.8%) and 2-0 (6.39%). The likeliest Freiburg win is 1-2 (8.45%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.71%).

Result

Hamburger SV 39.43% (+0.01)
Draw 25.55%
Freiburg 35.05% (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.29%

Goals

Over 1.5 76.77% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 23.23% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 53.41%
Under 2.5 46.59%
Over 3.5 30.8%
Under 3.5 69.19%
Over 4.5 16.86%
Under 4.5 83.14%

First Half Winner

Hamburger SV 31.47%
Draw 41.66%
Freiburg 26.88% (+0.01)

Team To Score First

Hamburger SV 49.14%
No Goal 6.24% (+0.01)
Freiburg 44.62% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 57.02%
Equal 8 11.95%
Under 8 31.03%
Over 9 44.89%
Equal 9 12.12%
Under 9 42.98%
Over 10.5 33.66%
Under 10.5 66.34%

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 1.5 41%
Under 1.5 59%
Over 2.5 16.91% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.09% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.68% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 94.32% (+0.01)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 70.05% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 29.95% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 37.21% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 62.79% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 14.78% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 85.22% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.45% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 95.55% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Hamburger SV 39.44%
Draw 25.55%
Freiburg 35.06%
Hamburger SV
1-0 @ 8.9% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.8%
2-0 @ 6.39% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 4.19%
3-0 @ 2.98% (-0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69% (+0.01)
Other @ 5.49%
Total : 39.44%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.71%
0-0 @ 6.24% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 6.04%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.19% (-0.02)
Total : 25.55%
Freiburg
1-2 @ 8.45% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 8.14% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 5.25%
1-3 @ 3.72%
2-3 @ 2.86%
0-3 @ 2.38%
Other @ 4.26%
Total : 35.06%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 16
Jan 10, 2026 2.30pm
Europa-Park Stadion
DFB-Pokal
Oct 30, 2024 5.00pm
2
1
HT : 2 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
  • Matthias Ginter 19' goal
  • Vincenzo Grifo 44' goal
  • goal Jonas Meffert 51'
  • yellowcard William Mikelbrencis 81'
Club Friendlies 1
Jan 13, 2023 2.00pm
6
2
HT : 4 2
FT TBC
  • Vincenzo Grifo 7' goal
  • Manuel Gulde 10' goal
  • Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 12' goal
  • Daniel-Kofi Kyereh 14' goal
  • Jeong Woo-yeong 87' goal
  • Nils Petersen 107' goal
  • goal Robert Glatzel 4'
  • goal Robert Glatzel 32'
DFB-Pokal
Apr 19, 2022 7.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 3
FT Volksparkstadion
  • Jonas Meffert 37' yellowcard
  • Ludovit Reis 48' yellowcard
  • Mikkel Kaufmann 75' yellowcard
  • Robert Glatzel 88' goal
  • Moritz Heyer 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Nils Petersen 11'
  • goal Nicolas Hofler 17'
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 35'
  • yellowcard Christian Gunter 57'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Hofler 63'
  • yellowcard Nico Schlotterbeck 72'
  • yellowcard Noah Weisshaupt 90'+3'
Bundesliga
Apr 21, 2018 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)
  • Matti Steinmann 43' yellowcard
  • Lewis Holtby 54' goal
  • Albin Ekdal 82' yellowcard
  • Gideon Jung 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Caglar Soyuncu 5'
  • yellowcard Lukas Kubler 58'
  • redcard Caglar Soyuncu 71'
Bundesliga
Dec 1, 2017 7.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion (Freiburg im Breisgau)
  • Pascal Stenzel 33' yellowcard
  • Nicolas Hofler 73' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Dennis Diekmeier 57'
  • yellowcard Bobby Wood 62'
  • yellowcard Gideon Jung 84'