Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 59.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Heidenheim had a probability of 17.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (10.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.39%) , while for a Heidenheim win it was 0-1 (4.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 10% likelihood.