Europa League
Apr 16, 2026 5.45pm
1
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Jones El-Abdellaoui 46' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 46' yellowcard
  • Sergio Carreira 46' yellowcard
  • Williot Swedberg 46' yellowcard
  • Hugo Álvarez 64' yellowcard
  • Williot Swedberg 90'+1' goal
  • goal Igor Matanovic 33'
  • goal Yuito Suzuki 39'
  • goal Yuito Suzuki 50'
  • yellowcard Lucas Höler 56'
  • yellowcard Derry Scherhant 56'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Höfler 71'
  • yellowcard Bruno Ogbus 71'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Höfler 72'
  • yellowcard Bruno Ogbus 72'
  • yellowcard Cyriaque Irié 83'

Celta Vigo vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Freiburg 3 - 0 Celta Vigo

Freiburg

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Freiburg 3 - 0 Celta Vigo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 39.43%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 34.19% and a draw had a probability of 26.34%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.58%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 0-1 (8.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.07%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood.

Result

Celta Vigo 39.43%
Draw 26.34%
Freiburg 34.19%

Both Teams to Score: 

54.12% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.15% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.85% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 50.14% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 49.86% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 27.91% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 72.09% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 15.26% (-0.03)
Under 4.5 84.74% (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Celta Vigo 30.66%
Draw 44.45%
Freiburg 24.89%

Team To Score First

Celta Vigo 50.05%
No Goal 7.37%
Freiburg 42.58%

Corners

Over 8 46.2% (+0.05)
Equal 8 12.16%
Under 8 41.64% (-0.04)
Over 9 34.88% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.32% (+0.01)
Under 9 53.8% (-0.05)
Over 10.5 25.19% (+0.02)
Under 10.5 74.81% (-0.02)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 1.5 38.87% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 61.13% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 16.05% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 83.95% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 5.26% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 94.74% (+0.02)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 68.18%
Under 0.5 31.82%
Over 1.5 34.87% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 65.13% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 13.33% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 86.67% (+0.02)
Over 3.5 4.24% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 95.76% (+0.03)

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 39.43%
Draw 26.34%
Freiburg 34.19%
Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 9.67% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.58%
2-0 @ 6.47%
3-1 @ 3.89%
3-0 @ 3.18%
3-2 @ 2.55%
Other @ 5.09% (-0.01)
Total : 39.43%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.07% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 7.37%
2-2 @ 5.56% (-0.02)
3-3 @ 1.17%
Other @ 0.17% (-0.01)
Total : 26.34%
Freiburg
0-1 @ 8.77% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.96%
0-2 @ 5.47%
1-3 @ 3.2%
0-3 @ 2.51%
2-3 @ 2.21%
Other @ 4.07% (-0.01)
Total : 34.19%

Head to Head

Europa League
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Europa-Park Stadion
  • Vincenzo Grifo 10' goal
  • Niklas Beste 32' goal
  • Derry Scherhant 74' yellowcard
  • Lucas Höler 74' yellowcard
  • Lucas Höler 75' yellowcard
  • Matthias Ginter 78' goal
  • Lukas Kübler 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jones El-Abdellaoui 46'
  • yellowcard Fer López 46'
  • yellowcard Matías Vecino 61'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 73'
  • yellowcard Pablo Durán 73'