Europa League
Apr 16, 2026 5.45pm
Estadio de Balaídos

Celta Vigo vs Freiburg - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Freiburg 3 - 0 Celta Vigo

Freiburg

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Freiburg 3 - 0 Celta Vigo

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 40.89%. A win for Freiburg has a probability of 32.36% and a draw has a probability of 26.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Freiburg win is 0-1 (8.74%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.49%).

Result

Celta Vigo 40.89%
Draw 26.78%
Freiburg 32.36%

Both Teams to Score: 

53.47%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.29%
Under 1.5 26.71%
Over 2.5 48.65%
Under 2.5 51.35%
Over 3.5 26.88%
Under 3.5 73.12%
Over 4.5 14.55%
Under 4.5 85.45%

First Half Winner

Celta Vigo 32.68%
Draw 43.57%
Freiburg 23.75%

Team To Score First

Celta Vigo 51.84%
No Goal 7.61%
Freiburg 40.55%

Corners

Over 8 50.94%
Equal 8 12.03%
Under 8 37.03%
Over 9 39.32%
Equal 9 11.62%
Under 9 49.06%
Over 10.5 29.01%
Under 10.5 70.99%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 1.5 39.29%
Under 1.5 60.71%
Over 2.5 16.11%
Under 2.5 83.89%
Over 3.5 5.26%
Under 3.5 94.74%

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5 66.78%
Under 0.5 33.22%
Over 1.5 32.82%
Under 1.5 67.18%
Over 2.5 12.11%
Under 2.5 87.89%
Over 3.5 3.71%
Under 3.5 96.29%

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 40.9%
Draw 26.78%
Freiburg 32.38%
Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 10.42%
2-1 @ 8.77%
2-0 @ 6.87%
3-1 @ 3.96%
3-0 @ 3.28%
3-2 @ 2.5%
Other @ 5.1%
Total : 40.9%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.61%
2-2 @ 5.41%
3-3 @ 1.11%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 26.78%
Freiburg
0-1 @ 8.74%
1-2 @ 7.54%
0-2 @ 5.26%
1-3 @ 2.97%
0-3 @ 2.19%
2-3 @ 2.13%
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 32.38%

Head to Head

Europa League
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Europa-Park Stadion
  • Vincenzo Grifo 10' goal
  • Niklas Beste 32' goal
  • Derry Scherhant 74' yellowcard
  • Lucas Höler 74' yellowcard
  • Lucas Höler 75' yellowcard
  • Matthias Ginter 78' goal
  • Lukas Kübler 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jones El-Abdellaoui 46'
  • yellowcard Fer López 46'
  • yellowcard Matías Vecino 61'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 73'
  • yellowcard Pablo Durán 73'