La Liga
Apr 12, 2026 5.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio de Balaídos
  • Ilaix Moriba 45' yellowcard
  • Andrés Antañón 46' yellowcard
  • Iago Aspas 46' yellowcard
  • Ilaix Moriba 46' yellowcard
  • Borja Iglesias 60' yellowcard
  • Ferran Jutglà 60' yellowcard
  • Óscar Mingueza 60' yellowcard
  • goal Alberto Reina 4'
  • goal Federico Viñas 45'
  • goal Federico Viñas 57'
  • yellowcard Haissem Hassan 66'
  • yellowcard David Costas 74'
  • yellowcard Santiago Colombatto 74'
  • yellowcard Rahim Alhassane 83'
  • yellowcard Thiago Borbas 83'

Celta Vigo vs Real Oviedo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 3.15pm
Valencia 2 - 3 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Ferran Jutglà

Real Oviedo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 5.30pm
Real Oviedo 1 - 0 Sevilla
Goals scored
22
Top scorer
Federico Viñas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 20.75%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%) , while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result

Celta Vigo 53.38% (+0.15)
Draw 25.9% (-0.05)
Real Oviedo 20.75% (-0.08)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.21% (-0.07)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.8% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 29.2% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 46.14% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 53.86% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 24.28% (+0.05)
Under 3.5 75.72% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 13.53% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 86.47% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Celta Vigo 41.5%
Draw 40.24%
Real Oviedo 18.26%

Team To Score First

Celta Vigo 59.79% (+0.01)
No Goal 8.77% (-0.01)
Real Oviedo 31.44%

Corners

Over 8 54.42% (+0.33)
Equal 8 12.2% (-0.03)
Under 8 33.38% (-0.31)
Over 9 42.3% (+0.31)
Equal 9 12.12% (+0.01)
Under 9 45.58% (-0.33)
Over 10.5 31.3% (+0.27)
Under 10.5 68.7% (-0.27)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 1.5 46.59% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 53.41% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 20.98% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 79.02% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 7.76% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.24% (-0.02)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5 54.97% (-0.04)
Under 0.5 45.03% (+0.04)
Over 1.5 21.49% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 78.51% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 6.15%
Under 2.5 93.85%
Over 3.5 1.41% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 98.59% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 53.37%
Draw 25.91%
Real Oviedo 20.77%
Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 13.48% (+0.07)
2-1 @ 9.91% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 9.9% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 5.26%
3-1 @ 4.82% (+0.03)
3-2 @ 2.33% (+0.02)
Other @ 7.67% (+0.01)
Total : 53.37%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75%
0-0 @ 8.77% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.49% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.09%
Total : 25.91%
Real Oviedo
0-1 @ 7% (-0.04)
1-2 @ 5.52% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 3% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.45%
2-3 @ 1.31% (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.17% (-0.03)
Other @ 1.32% (+0.02)
Total : 20.77%

Head to Head

La Liga
Dec 20, 2025 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Santiago Colombatto 25' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ahijado 33' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manuel Fernández Arroyo 60'