La Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 12, 2026 5.30pm
Estadio de Balaídos

Celta Vigo vs Real Oviedo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Celta Vigo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 3.15pm
Valencia 2 - 3 Celta Vigo
Goals scored
44
Top scorer
Ferran Jutglà

Real Oviedo

All competitions
Last game
Apr 5, 2026 5.30pm
Real Oviedo 1 - 0 Sevilla
Goals scored
19
Top scorer
Federico Viñas

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 53.27%. A draw has a probability of 25.97% and a win for Real Oviedo has a probability of 20.79%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win is 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (9.9%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.75%) , while for a Real Oviedo win it is 0-1 (7.04%).

Result

Celta Vigo 53.27% (-0.47)
Draw 25.97% (+0.10)
Real Oviedo 20.79% (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.17% (+0.27)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.65% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 29.35% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 46% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 54% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 24.17% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 75.8% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.46% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 86.54% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Celta Vigo 41.5%
Draw 40.24%
Real Oviedo 18.26%

Team To Score First

Celta Vigo 59.74% (+0.02)
No Goal 8.85% (-0.02)
Real Oviedo 31.41% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 54.1%
Equal 8 12.22%
Under 8 33.69%
Over 9 41.99%
Equal 9 12.11%
Under 9 45.9%
Over 10.5 31.03%
Under 10.5 68.97%

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 1.5 46.46% (-0.27)
Under 1.5 53.54% (+0.27)
Over 2.5 20.87% (-0.20)
Under 2.5 79.13% (+0.20)
Over 3.5 7.72% (-0.09)
Under 3.5 92.28% (+0.08)

Real Oviedo Goals

Over 0.5 54.91% (+0.50)
Under 0.5 45.09% (-0.50)
Over 1.5 21.44% (+0.36)
Under 1.5 78.56% (-0.35)
Over 2.5 6.12% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 93.88% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 1.39% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 98.61% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Celta Vigo 53.26%
Draw 25.98%
Real Oviedo 20.78%
Celta Vigo
1-0 @ 13.48% (-0.14)
2-0 @ 9.9% (-0.13)
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 5.24% (-0.11)
3-1 @ 4.78% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 2.32% (+0.01)
Other @ 7.64% (-0.09)
Total : 53.26%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.75% (+0.08)
0-0 @ 8.85% (-0.02)
2-2 @ 4.49% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.08%
Total : 25.98%
Real Oviedo
0-1 @ 7.04% (+0.13)
1-2 @ 5.5% (+0.09)
0-2 @ 3.01% (+0.09)
1-3 @ 1.44% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.3% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.18% (+0.04)
Other @ 1.31% (+0.04)
Total : 20.78%

Head to Head

La Liga
Dec 20, 2025 1.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Santiago Colombatto 25' yellowcard
  • Lucas Ahijado 33' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Manuel Fernández Arroyo 60'