Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 53.38%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Real Oviedo had a probability of 20.75%.
The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.91%) and 2-0 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.75%) , while for a Real Oviedo win it was 0-1 (7%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.