Europa League
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT Europa-Park Stadion
  • Vincenzo Grifo 10' goal
  • Niklas Beste 32' goal
  • Derry Scherhant 74' yellowcard
  • Lucas Höler 74' yellowcard
  • Lucas Höler 75' yellowcard
  • Matthias Ginter 78' goal
  • Lukas Kübler 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jones El-Abdellaoui 46'
  • yellowcard Fer López 46'
  • yellowcard Matías Vecino 61'
  • yellowcard Iago Aspas 73'
  • yellowcard Pablo Durán 73'

Freiburg vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.18%. A win for Celta Vigo had a probability of 31.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win was 0-1 (8.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.1%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.

Result

Freiburg 42.18% (+0.04)
Draw 26.16% (+0.04)
Celta Vigo 31.69% (-0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.18% (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.33% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.67% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 50.25% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 49.74% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 28.37% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 71.63% (-0.02)
Over 4.5 15.74% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 84.26% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Freiburg 33.67% (+0.04)
Draw 42.25% (-0.01)
Celta Vigo 24.08% (-0.03)

Team To Score First

Freiburg 52.13% (-0.02)
No Goal 7.21% (+0.01)
Celta Vigo 40.66% (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 49.37% (-0.04)
Equal 8 12.14%
Under 8 38.48% (+0.03)
Over 9 37.78% (-0.04)
Equal 9 11.59% (+0.01)
Under 9 50.63% (+0.04)
Over 10.5 27.63% (-0.05)
Under 10.5 72.37% (+0.05)

Freiburg Goals

Over 1.5 41.1% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 58.9% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 17.68% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 82.32% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 6.03% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 93.97% (-0.02)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 66.32% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 33.68% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 32.92% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 67.08% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 12.2% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 87.8% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 3.83% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 96.17% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Freiburg 42.19%
Draw 26.17%
Celta Vigo 31.68%
Freiburg
1-0 @ 10.16% (+0.05)
2-1 @ 8.76% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.98%
3-1 @ 4.2%
3-0 @ 3.56%
3-2 @ 2.72%
Other @ 5.81% (+0.01)
Total : 42.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.1% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 7.21% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.47% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.17% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.02)
Total : 26.17%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 8.34% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.99%
1-3 @ 2.97%
2-3 @ 2.21% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 2.02% (-0.03)
Other @ 3.61%
Total : 31.68%