Europa League
Apr 9, 2026 8.00pm
Europa-Park Stadion

Freiburg vs Celta Vigo - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions

Celta Vigo

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Freiburg win with a probability of 42.15%. A win for Celta Vigo has a probability of 31.72% and a draw has a probability of 26.13%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.98%). The likeliest Celta Vigo win is 0-1 (8.33%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.09%).

Result

Freiburg 42.15% (-0.04)
Draw 26.13% (-0.09)
Celta Vigo 31.72% (+0.15)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.22% (+0.51)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.34% (+0.50)
Under 1.5 25.66% (-0.49)
Over 2.5 50.29% (+0.69)
Under 2.5 49.71% (-0.69)
Over 3.5 28.36% (+0.92)
Under 3.5 71.64% (-0.93)
Over 4.5 15.72% (+0.56)
Under 4.5 84.28% (-0.55)

First Half Winner

Freiburg 33.64% (+0.96)
Draw 42.26% (-0.09)
Celta Vigo 24.1% (-0.87)

Team To Score First

Freiburg 52.15% (+1.58)
No Goal 7.2% (-0.21)
Celta Vigo 40.65% (-1.36)

Corners

Over 8 49.41% (+1.10)
Equal 8 12.14% (+0.11)
Under 8 38.45% (-1.21)
Over 9 37.82% (+0.90)
Equal 9 11.58% (+0.19)
Under 9 50.59% (-1.10)
Over 10.5 27.67% (+0.68)
Under 10.5 72.33% (-0.68)

Freiburg Goals

Over 1.5 41.08% (+0.47)
Under 1.5 58.92% (-0.47)
Over 2.5 17.65% (+0.39)
Under 2.5 82.35% (-0.40)
Over 3.5 6.01% (+0.17)
Under 3.5 93.99% (-0.17)

Celta Vigo Goals

Over 0.5 66.33% (+0.41)
Under 0.5 33.67% (-0.41)
Over 1.5 32.94% (+0.51)
Under 1.5 67.06% (-0.51)
Over 2.5 12.21% (+0.34)
Under 2.5 87.79% (-0.33)
Over 3.5 3.82% (+0.20)
Under 3.5 96.18% (-0.20)

Score analysis

Freiburg 42.15%
Draw 26.12%
Celta Vigo 31.72%
Freiburg
1-0 @ 10.12% (-0.20)
2-1 @ 8.77% (-0.08)
2-0 @ 6.98% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.2% (+0.15)
3-0 @ 3.56% (-0.05)
3-2 @ 2.72% (+0.09)
Other @ 5.8% (+0.14)
Total : 42.15%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.09% (-0.11)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.21)
2-2 @ 5.46% (+0.14)
3-3 @ 1.16% (+0.06)
Other @ 0.21% (+0.02)
Total : 26.12%
Celta Vigo
0-1 @ 8.33% (-0.07)
1-2 @ 7.56% (-0.03)
0-2 @ 4.99% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 2.97% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.22% (+0.08)
0-3 @ 2.04% (-0.09)
Other @ 3.61% (+0.18)
Total : 31.72%