Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Apr 25, 2026 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Volksparkstadion
Hoffenheim
  • Robert Glatzel 34' yellowcard
  • Otto Stange 64' yellowcard
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 75' yellowcard
  • Giorgi Gocholeishvili 75' yellowcard
  • Damion Downs 88' yellowcard
  • Rayan Philippe 88' yellowcard
  • goal Fisnik Asllani 18'
  • goal Tim Lemperle 45'
  • yellowcard Bernardo 45'
  • yellowcard Bernardo 46'
  • yellowcard Grischa Prömel 64'
  • yellowcard Alexander Prass 75'
  • yellowcard Cole Campbell 85'
  • yellowcard Max Moerstedt 85'
  • yellowcard Max Moerstedt 86'

Hamburger SV vs Hoffenheim - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 2.30pm
Werder Bremen 3 - 1 Hamburger SV
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Fabio Vieira

Hoffenheim

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 2.30pm
Hoffenheim 2 - 1 Dortmund
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Fisnik Asllani

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 38.9%. A win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 35.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.72%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.42%) and 0-2 (6.14%). The likeliest Hamburger SV win was 1-0 (7.79%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.

Result

Hamburger SV 35.38% ▼ (-0.03)
Draw 25.72%
Hoffenheim 38.9%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.15% ▼ (-0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 76.98% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 23.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 54.51%
Under 2.5 45.49%
Over 3.5 32.99% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 66.98%
Over 4.5 19.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 4.5 80.62% ▲ (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Hamburger SV 32.71%
Draw 38.65%
Hoffenheim 28.64%

Team To Score First

Hamburger SV 46.97%
No Goal 6.69%
Hoffenheim 46.34%

Corners

Over 8 65.47%
Equal 8 11.16%
Under 8 23.37%
Over 9 53.29%
Equal 9 12.18%
Under 9 34.53%
Over 10.5 41.24%
Under 10.5 58.76%

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 1.5 38.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 61.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 16.72%
Under 2.5 83.28%
Over 3.5 5.95% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.05% ▼ (-0.02)

Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 72.38% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 27.62% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 40.99%
Under 1.5 59.01%
Over 2.5 17.66% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 82.34% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 3.5 6.22%
Under 3.5 93.78%

Score analysis

Hamburger SV 35.39%
Draw 25.72%
Hoffenheim 38.89%
Hamburger SV
1-0 @ 7.79% ▼ (-0.01)
2-1 @ 7.76% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 4.99% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 3.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.95%
3-0 @ 2.48%
Other @ 5.67%
Total : 35.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.34%
0-0 @ 6.69%
2-2 @ 5.82% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.59%
Other @ 0.28% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 25.72%
Hoffenheim
0-1 @ 8.54% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 6.14% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 4.04%
2-3 @ 2.95% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 2.86% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 5.94% ▼ (-0.01)
Total : 38.89%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
Dec 13, 2025 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 0
FT
Hamburger SV
  • Grischa Promel 8' goal
  • Ozan Kabak 31' goal
  • Tim Lemperle 65' goal
  • Fisnik Asllani 72' goal
  • Grischa Promel 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ransford Konigsdorffer 29'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Capaldo 65'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Capaldo 67'
  • yellowcard Albert Sambi Lokonga 77'
  • goal Rayan Philippe 82'
Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
Apr 14, 2018 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT WIRSOL Rhein-Neckar-Arena (Sinsheim)
Hamburger SV
  • Serge Gnabry 18' goal
  • Adam Szalai 27' goal
  • Nadiem Amiri 65' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Douglas Santos 51'
  • yellowcard Gideon Jung 85'
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Nov 26, 2017 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)
Hoffenheim
  • Kevin Akpoguma 6' goal
  • Filip Kostic 75' goal
  • Gideon Jung 88' goal
  • yellowcard Kevin Vogt 29'
  • yellowcard Mark Uth 61'
  • yellowcard Florian Grillitsch 74'
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Apr 8, 2017 2.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT
Hoffenheim
  • Aaron Hunt 25' goal
  • Filip Kostic 40' yellowcard
  • Walace Souza Silva 51' yellowcard
  • Kyriakos Papadopoulos 68' yellowcard
  • Aaron Hunt 75' goal
  • Dennis Diekmeier 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sebastian Rudy 32'
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 35'
  • yellowcard Andrej Kramaric 36'
  • yellowcard Steven Zuber 62'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Hubner 82'
Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
Nov 20, 2016 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 1
FT
Hamburger SV
  • Ermin Bicakcic 40' yellowcard
  • Sandro Wagner 45' goal
  • Steven Zuber 49' goal
  • yellowcard Gotoku Sakai 16'
  • goal Filip Kostic 28'
  • yellowcard Nicolai Muller 42'
  • goal Nicolai Muller 61'
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Mar 19, 2016 2.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
Hoffenheim
  • Rene Adler 19' yellowcard
  • Aaron Hunt 29' goal
  • Matthias Ostrzolek 35' yellowcard
  • Lewis Holtby 70' yellowcard
  • goal Andrej Kramaric 19'
  • goal Kevin Volland 23'
  • yellowcard Pavel Kaderabek 49'
  • goal Eduardo Vargas 67'

Form Data

Werder Bremen 3 - 1 Hamburger SV
Stuttgart 4 - 0 Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV 1 - 1 Augsburg
Dortmund 3 - 2 Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV 1 - 1 FC Koln
Wolfsburg 1 - 2 Hamburger SV
Hoffenheim 2 - 1 Dortmund
Augsburg 2 - 2 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 1 - 2 Mainz
Hoffenheim 3 - 5 Elversberg
RB Leipzig 5 - 0 Hoffenheim
Hoffenheim 1 - 1 Wolfsburg