Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 39.78%. A win for Borussia Dortmund had a probability of 38.01% and a draw had a probability of 22.21%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.53%) and 2-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 (8.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.48%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood.