Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 54.72%. A win for Bayer Leverkusen had a probability of 22.75% and a draw had a probability of 22.49%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (8.84%). The likeliest Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-2 (5.82%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.