Bundesliga Gameweek 27
Dortmund
Mar 21, 2026 5.30pm
3
2
HT : 0 2
FT Signal Iduna Park
Hamburger SV
  • Felix Nmecha 45' yellowcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 46' yellowcard
  • Luca Reggiani 46' yellowcard
  • Ramy Bensebaini 46' yellowcard
  • Fábio Silva 58' yellowcard
  • Carney Chukwuemeka 58' yellowcard
  • Ramy Bensebaini 73' yellowcard
  • Serhou Guirassy 78' goal
  • Ramy Bensebaini 84' yellowcard
  • Julian Brandt 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Philip Otele 19'
  • goal Albert Sambi Lokonga 38'
  • yellowcard Damion Downs 67'
  • yellowcard Fabio Baldé 67'
  • yellowcard Damion Downs 68'
  • yellowcard Fabio Baldé 68'
  • yellowcard Otto Stange 79'
  • yellowcard Otto Stange 80'
  • yellowcard Jean-Luc Dompé 90'
  • yellowcard Rayan Philippe 90'
  • yellowcard 90'
  • yellowcard Jean-Luc Dompé 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Rayan Philippe 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Jean-Luc Dompé 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Rayan Philippe 90'+2'

Borussia Dortmund vs Hamburger SV - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Dortmund

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 2.30pm
Dortmund 2 - 0 Augsburg
Goals scored
58
Top scorer
Serhou Guirassy

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
Mar 14, 2026 5.30pm
Hamburger SV 1 - 1 FC Koln
Goals scored
30
Top scorer
Fabio Vieira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.56%. A draw had a probability of 22.13% and a win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 17.36%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.52%) and 2-1 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.72%) , while for a Hamburger SV win it was 0-1 (5.09%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood.

Result

Borussia Dortmund 60.56%
Draw 22.13%
Hamburger SV 17.36% ▼ (-0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

46.33%

Goals

Over 1.5 74.9% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 25.1% ▲ (+0.03)
Over 2.5 51.41%
Under 2.5 48.59%
Over 3.5 29.49% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 70.51% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 18.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 4.5 81.69% ▲ (+0.04)

First Half Winner

Borussia Dortmund 41.98%
Draw 37.66%
Hamburger SV 20.35%

Team To Score First

Borussia Dortmund 59.5%
No Goal 7.12%
Hamburger SV 33.38%

Corners

Over 8 59.76%
Equal 8 11.38%
Under 8 28.86%
Over 9 47.98%
Equal 9 11.78%
Under 9 40.24%
Over 10.5 36.8%
Under 10.5 63.2%

Borussia Dortmund Goals

Over 1.5 54.32% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 45.68% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 27.69% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 2.5 72.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 11.63% ▼ (-0.03)
Under 3.5 88.37% ▲ (+0.04)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5 49.95% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 50.05% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 20.23% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 79.77% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 2.5 6.61% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 2.5 93.39% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 3.5 1.84%
Under 3.5 98.16%

Score analysis

Borussia Dortmund 60.56%
Draw 22.14%
Hamburger SV 17.35%
Borussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 12.94%
2-0 @ 11.52% ▲ (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.48% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 7.04% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.43%
3-2 @ 2.67%
Other @ 11.48% ▼ (-0.03)
Total : 60.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.72%
0-0 @ 7.12%
2-2 @ 4.23%
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.14%
Hamburger SV
0-1 @ 5.09% ▼ (-0.01)
1-2 @ 4.46%
0-2 @ 2.26% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.52% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.4% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.69%
Total : 17.35%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Nov 8, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Dortmund
Bundesliga
Dortmund
Feb 10, 2018 2.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Signal-Iduna-Park (Dortmund)
Hamburger SV
  • Michy Batshuayi 49' goal
  • Mario Gotze 90' goal
  • yellowcard Gideon Jung 65'
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Sep 20, 2017 7.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
Dortmund
  • Kyriakos Papadopoulos 20' yellowcard
  • Gotoku Sakai 31' yellowcard
  • Lewis Holtby 76' yellowcard
  • goal Shinji Kagawa 24'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 63'
  • goal Christian Pulisic 79'
Bundesliga
Dortmund
Apr 4, 2017 7.00pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Hamburger SV
  • Gonzalo Castro 13' goal
  • Matthias Ginter 29' yellowcard
  • Shinji Kagawa 81' goal
  • Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 93' goal
  • yellowcard Albin Ekdal 12'
  • yellowcard Filip Kostic 66'
  • yellowcard Lewis Holtby 80'
Bundesliga
Hamburger SV
Nov 5, 2016 2.30pm
2
5
HT : 0 3
FT
Dortmund
  • Nicolai Muller 55' goal
  • Gotoku Sakai 68' yellowcard
  • Nicolai Muller 82' goal
  • Douglas Santos 85' yellowcard
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 4'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 23'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 27'
  • goal Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang 48'
  • goal Ousmane Dembele 76'
Bundesliga
Dortmund
Apr 17, 2016 2.30pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
Hamburger SV
  • Christian Pulisic 38' goal
  • Adrian Ramos 44' goal
  • Adrian Ramos 86' goal
  • redcard Rene Adler 52'

Form Data

Dortmund 2 - 0 Augsburg
FC Koln 1 - 2 Dortmund
Dortmund 2 - 3 Bayern
Atalanta 4 - 1 Dortmund
RB Leipzig 2 - 2 Dortmund
Dortmund 2 - 0 Atalanta
Hamburger SV 1 - 1 FC Koln
Wolfsburg 1 - 2 Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV 0 - 1 B. Leverkusen
Hamburger SV 1 - 2 RB Leipzig
Mainz 1 - 1 Hamburger SV
Hamburger SV 3 - 2 Union Berlin