Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 42%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 32.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.08%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.79%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 2-1 (7.91%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.44%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.