Europa League
May 7, 2026 8.00pm
Europa-Park Stadion

Freiburg vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 8.00pm
Braga 2 - 1 Freiburg

Braga

All competitions
Europa League
Last game
Apr 30, 2026 8.00pm
Braga 2 - 1 Freiburg

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Freiburg win with a probability of 43.02%. A win for Braga has a probability of 33.18% and a draw has a probability of 23.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win is 1-0 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.53%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest Braga win is 0-1 (7.68%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.12%).

Result

Freiburg 43.02% (-0.08)
Draw 23.73%
Braga 33.18% (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.67% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.88% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 22.12% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 54.85% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 45.15% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 32.62% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 67.38% (-0.05)
Over 4.5 19.2% (+0.04)
Under 4.5 80.8% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Freiburg 27.32% (-0.04)
Draw 43.04% (+0.01)
Braga 29.64% (+0.02)

Team To Score First

Freiburg 45.93% (+0.01)
No Goal 5.78% (-0.01)
Braga 48.29%

Corners

Over 8 41.31% (+0.02)
Equal 8 11.94%
Under 8 46.76% (-0.02)
Over 9 30.63% (+0.01)
Equal 9 10.68%
Under 9 58.69% (-0.02)
Over 10.5 21.81%
Under 10.5 78.19%

Freiburg Goals

Over 1.5 43.84% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 56.16% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 20.34% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 79.66% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 7.77% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 92.23% (-0.04)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 67.17% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 32.83% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 35.25% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 64.75% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 14.18% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 85.82% (-0.06)
Over 3.5 4.83% (+0.03)
Under 3.5 95.17% (-0.02)

Score analysis

Freiburg 43.03%
Draw 23.73%
Braga 33.18%
Freiburg
1-0 @ 8.6% (-0.04)
2-1 @ 8.53% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.88% (-0.04)
3-1 @ 4.59% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 3.85% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.92% (-0.02)
Other @ 7.66% (+0.03)
Total : 43.03%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.12% (-0.02)
0-0 @ 5.78% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.51% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.11% (+0.01)
Total : 23.73%
Braga
0-1 @ 7.68% (-0.02)
1-2 @ 7.61% (+0.02)
0-2 @ 5.03%
1-3 @ 3.31% (+0.02)
2-3 @ 2.58%
0-3 @ 2.25% (+0.01)
Other @ 4.72% (+0.01)
Total : 33.18%

Head to Head

Europa League
Apr 30, 2026 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Demir Ege Tıknaz 8' goal
  • Mario Dorgeles 25' yellowcard
  • Mario Dorgeles 26' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 45'+2' yellowcard
  • Fran Navarro 72' yellowcard
  • Mario Dorgeles 90'+2' goal
  • goal Vincenzo Grifo 16'
  • yellowcard Lucas Höler 81'
  • yellowcard Derry Scherhant 81'