Primeira Liga Gameweek 26
Apr 23, 2026 8.15pm
Estádio Pina Manique

Casa Pia vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Casa Pia

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 3.30pm
Alverca 3 - 1 Casa Pia
Goals scored
28
Top scorer
Gaizka Larrazabal

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 6.00pm
Braga 1 - 0 Arouca
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Braga win with a probability of 61.36%. A draw has a probability of 22.6% and a win for Casa Pia has a probability of 16.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win is 0-1 with a probability of 13.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.56%) and 1-2 (9.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.63%) , while for a Casa Pia win it is 1-0 (5.95%).

Result

Casa Pia 16.04%
Draw 22.6%
Braga 61.36%

Both Teams to Score: 

45.37%

Goals

Over 1.5 73.33%
Under 1.5 26.67%
Over 2.5 48.61%
Under 2.5 51.39%
Over 3.5 26.92%
Under 3.5 73.08%
Over 4.5 16.47%
Under 4.5 83.53%

First Half Winner

Casa Pia 12.96%
Draw 37.91%
Braga 49.14%

Team To Score First

Casa Pia 22.54%
No Goal 7.69%
Braga 69.77%

Corners

Over 8 42.83%
Equal 8 12.09%
Under 8 45.08%
Over 9 31.89%
Equal 9 10.94%
Under 9 57.17%
Over 10.5 22.75%
Under 10.5 77.25%

Casa Pia Goals

Over 1.5 16.89%
Under 1.5 83.11%
Over 2.5 4.15%
Under 2.5 95.85%
Over 3.5 0.83%
Under 3.5 99.17%

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 82.38%
Under 0.5 17.62%
Over 1.5 53.53%
Under 1.5 46.47%
Over 2.5 27.83%
Under 2.5 72.17%
Over 3.5 11.62%
Under 3.5 88.38%

Score analysis

Casa Pia 16.05%
Draw 22.6%
Braga 61.36%
Casa Pia
1-0 @ 5.95%
2-1 @ 4.03%
2-0 @ 2.52%
3-1 @ 1.15%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 16.05%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.63%
0-0 @ 7.69%
2-2 @ 3.68%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.6%
Braga
0-1 @ 13.04%
0-2 @ 11.56%
1-2 @ 9.53%
0-3 @ 7.48%
1-3 @ 5.63%
2-3 @ 2.51%
Other @ 11.61%
Total : 61.36%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Oct 26, 2025 8.30pm
4
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 33
May 10, 2025 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 1 1
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Fahem Benaissa-Yahia 45' goal
  • Jeremy Livolant 79' goal
  • goal Rodrigo Zalazar 20'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 16
Dec 29, 2024 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Amine El Ouazzani 45'+2' goal
  • Robson Bambu 63' yellowcard
  • Bright Arrey-Mbi 83' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gaizka Larrazabal 25'
  • goal Telasco Segovia 40'
  • yellowcard Beni Mukendi 66'
  • goal Nuno Moreira 70'
  • yellowcard Andre Geraldes 90'+1'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 6.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Alvaro Djalo 12' goal
  • Paulo Oliveira 56' yellowcard
  • Abel Ruiz 60' goal
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 64' goal
  • Alvaro Djalo 74' yellowcard
  • Alvaro Djalo 75' redcard
  • Abel Ruiz 88' goal
  • Felippe Cardoso 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Yuki Soma 35'
  • yellowcard Yuki Soma 36'
  • redcard Francisco Chalo 36'
  • goal Leonardo Lelo 51'
  • goal Paulo Oliveira 72' (OG)
  • yellowcard Duplexe Tchamba 83'
  • yellowcard Ruben Lameiras 90'+2'
  • yellowcard Ruben Lameiras 90'+2'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Dec 30, 2023 6.00pm
1
3
HT : 0 0
FT Campo do Cevadeiro
  • Clayton 74' goal
  • Beni Mukendi 90'+6' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Moutinho 51'
  • goal Simon Banza 77'
  • goal Rodrigo Zalazar 88'
Taca da Liga
Nov 1, 2023 8.15pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Pizzi 62' goal
  • Paulo Oliveira 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lucas Paes 43'
  • goal Clayton 76'
  • yellowcard Pablo Roberto 90'+1'