Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 62.07%. A draw had a probability of 22.33% and a win for Casa Pia had a probability of 15.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.87%) and 1-2 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.58%) , while for a Casa Pia win it was 1-0 (6.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 13.7% likelihood.