Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 41.95%. A win for Casa Pia had a probability of 29.31% and a draw had a probability of 28.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (8.04%). The likeliest Casa Pia win was 1-0 (10.38%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.