Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Santa Clara win with a probability of 45.51%. A win for Rio Ave had a probability of 28.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.55%.
The most likely scoreline for a Santa Clara win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (7.36%). The likeliest Rio Ave win was 1-2 (6.94%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.