Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 37.65%. A win for Santa Clara had a probability of 33.39% and a draw had a probability of 28.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.09%) and 0-2 (6.75%). The likeliest Santa Clara win was 1-0 (10.9%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood.