Primeira Liga Gameweek 29
Braga
Apr 12, 2026 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
Arouca
  • Paulo Oliveira 46' yellowcard
  • Gabri Martínez 63' yellowcard
  • Pau Víctor 63' yellowcard
  • Pau Víctor 66' goal
  • Gorby 76' yellowcard
  • Yanis da Rocha 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Alfonso Trezza 64'
  • yellowcard Amadou Dante 64'
  • yellowcard Amadou Dante 65'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Trezza 65'
  • yellowcard Iván Barbero 83'
  • yellowcard Iván Barbero 84'
  • yellowcard Mateo Flores 85'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 85'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 86'
  • yellowcard Fally Mayulu 90'+1'

Braga vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 6.00pm
Moreirense 0 - 1 Braga
Goals scored
55
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 6.45pm
Arouca 3 - 2 Estoril
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Iván Barbero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 60.75%. A draw had a probability of 21.84% and a win for Arouca had a probability of 17.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%) , while for a Arouca win it was 1-2 (5.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood.

Result

Braga 60.75% ▲ (+0.07)
Draw 21.84% ▼ (-0.04)
Arouca 17.4% ▼ (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.47% ▼ (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.97% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 1.5 22.03% ▲ (+0.07)
Over 2.5 55.22% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 2.5 44.78% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 31.6% ▼ (-0.04)
Under 3.5 68.4% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 4.5 19.39%
Under 4.5 80.61%

First Half Winner

Braga 45.4%
Draw 37.28%
Arouca 17.31%

Team To Score First

Braga 64.1%
No Goal 5.86% ▲ (+0.02)
Arouca 30.04% ▼ (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 42.52%
Equal 8 12.89%
Under 8 44.59%
Over 9 30.88%
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 57.48%
Over 10.5 21.28%
Under 10.5 78.72%

Braga Goals

Over 1.5 56.64% ▼ (-0.01)
Under 1.5 43.36% ▲ (+0.01)
Over 2.5 29.78% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 2.5 70.22% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 12.76% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 87.24% ▼ (-0.03)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 52.71% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 47.29% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 21.23% ▼ (-0.09)
Under 1.5 78.77% ▲ (+0.09)
Over 2.5 6.51% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 2.5 93.49% ▲ (+0.04)
Over 3.5 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 3.5 98.43% ▲ (+0.02)

Score analysis

Braga 60.74%
Draw 21.84%
Arouca 17.4%
Braga
1-0 @ 11.34% ▲ (+0.03)
2-0 @ 10.4%
2-1 @ 10.38% ▼ (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.1% ▲ (+0.02)
3-1 @ 6.11%
3-2 @ 2.84% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 12.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 60.74%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.18% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.86% ▲ (+0.02)
2-2 @ 4.64% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Total : 21.84%
Arouca
1-2 @ 5.06% ▼ (-0.02)
0-1 @ 4.81%
0-2 @ 2.18% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.46% ▼ (-0.02)
2-3 @ 1.44%
0-3 @ 1.07% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 17.4%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Arouca
Dec 1, 2025 8.15pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT
Braga
  • Jose Fontan 13' yellowcard
  • Jose Fontan 15' yellowcard
  • Alex Pinto 25' yellowcard
  • Tiago Esgaio 84' yellowcard
  • Tiago Esgaio 85' yellowcard
  • goal Nico Mantl 26' (OG)
  • goal Ricardo Horta 31'
  • goal Alex Pinto 45'+2' (OG)
  • goal Gustaf Lagerbielke 71'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Braga
Mar 29, 2025 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
Arouca
  • Gabri Martinez 22' goal
  • Ricardo Horta 39' goal
  • Uros Racic 44' goal
  • Uros Racic 61' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 64' yellowcard
  • goal Alfonso Trezza 68'
  • yellowcard Taichi Fukui 77'
  • yellowcard Jose Fontan 87'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Arouca
Nov 3, 2024 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Braga
  • Alfonso Trezza 6' yellowcard
  • Jose Fontan 9' yellowcard
  • David Simao 24' yellowcard
  • Morlaye Sylla 90' goal
  • goal Bruma 16'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Zalazar 28'
  • goal Amine El Ouazzani 55'
  • yellowcard Vitor Carvalho 70'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Braga
Apr 6, 2024 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
Arouca
  • Joao Moutinho 45'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francisco Montero 9'
  • goal Serdar Saatci 29' (OG)
  • goal Rafa Mujica 34'
  • yellowcard David Simao 46'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 62'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Arouca
Nov 12, 2023 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
Braga
  • David Simao 40' yellowcard
  • Pedro Santos 88' yellowcard
  • goal Alvaro Djalo 36'
  • yellowcard Bruma 46'
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Matheus Magalhaes 85'
  • yellowcard Abel Ruiz 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Braga
Feb 19, 2023 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
Arouca
  • Abel Ruiz 1' goal
  • Simon Banza 81' goal

Form Data

Braga 1 - 1 Betis
Moreirense 0 - 1 Braga
Braga 1 - 2 Porto
Braga 4 - 0 Ferencvaros
Ferencvaros 2 - 0 Braga
Braga 2 - 2 Sporting Lisbon
Arouca 3 - 2 Estoril
Moreirense 0 - 1 Arouca
Arouca 1 - 2 Benfica
Famalicao 1 - 0 Arouca
Porto 3 - 1 Arouca
Arouca 3 - 0 Nacional