Primeira Liga Gameweek 29
Apr 12, 2026 6.00pm
Estádio Municipal de Braga

Braga vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Apr 4, 2026 6.00pm
Moreirense 0 - 1 Braga
Goals scored
54
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 6, 2026 6.45pm
Arouca 3 - 2 Estoril
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Iván Barbero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Braga win with a probability of 60.69%. A draw has a probability of 21.88% and a win for Arouca has a probability of 17.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win is 1-0 with a probability of 11.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (10.39%) and 2-0 (10.38%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.18%) , while for a Arouca win it is 1-2 (5.08%).

Result

Braga 60.69%
Draw 21.88%
Arouca 17.44%

Both Teams to Score: 

50.54% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 77.99% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 22.01% (+0.02)
Over 2.5 55.26% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 44.74% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 31.6%
Under 3.5 68.4%
Over 4.5 19.37% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 80.63% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Braga 45.4%
Draw 37.28%
Arouca 17.31%

Team To Score First

Braga 64.1%
No Goal 5.86%
Arouca 30.04%

Corners

Over 8 42.52% (-0.01)
Equal 8 12.89%
Under 8 44.59% (+0.02)
Over 9 30.88% (-0.02)
Equal 9 11.64%
Under 9 57.48% (+0.01)
Over 10.5 21.28%
Under 10.5 78.72%

Braga Goals

Over 1.5 56.61% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 43.39% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 29.75%
Under 2.5 70.25%
Over 3.5 12.73% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 87.27% (+0.01)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 52.8%
Under 0.5 47.2%
Over 1.5 21.31% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 78.69% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 6.56% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 93.44% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 1.58%
Under 3.5 98.42%

Score analysis

Braga 60.67%
Draw 21.87%
Arouca 17.45%
Braga
1-0 @ 11.33% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.39%
2-0 @ 10.38% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 7.09% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.11%
3-2 @ 2.84%
Other @ 12.53% (-0.01)
Total : 60.67%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.18% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.86%
2-2 @ 4.65%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 21.87%
Arouca
1-2 @ 5.08% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 4.81%
0-2 @ 2.18% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.47%
2-3 @ 1.44%
0-3 @ 1.09% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.38%
Total : 17.45%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Dec 1, 2025 8.15pm
0
4
HT : 0 3
FT
  • Jose Fontan 13' yellowcard
  • Jose Fontan 15' yellowcard
  • Alex Pinto 25' yellowcard
  • Tiago Esgaio 84' yellowcard
  • Tiago Esgaio 85' yellowcard
  • goal Nico Mantl 26' (OG)
  • goal Ricardo Horta 31'
  • goal Alex Pinto 45'+2' (OG)
  • goal Gustaf Lagerbielke 71'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 27
Mar 29, 2025 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 3 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Gabri Martinez 22' goal
  • Ricardo Horta 39' goal
  • Uros Racic 44' goal
  • Uros Racic 61' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 64' yellowcard
  • goal Alfonso Trezza 68'
  • yellowcard Taichi Fukui 77'
  • yellowcard Jose Fontan 87'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 10
Nov 3, 2024 6.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Alfonso Trezza 6' yellowcard
  • Jose Fontan 9' yellowcard
  • David Simao 24' yellowcard
  • Morlaye Sylla 90' goal
  • goal Bruma 16'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Zalazar 28'
  • goal Amine El Ouazzani 55'
  • yellowcard Vitor Carvalho 70'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 6, 2024 6.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Joao Moutinho 45'+4' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Francisco Montero 9'
  • goal Serdar Saatci 29' (OG)
  • goal Rafa Mujica 34'
  • yellowcard David Simao 46'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 62'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 89'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 11
Nov 12, 2023 6.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • David Simao 40' yellowcard
  • Pedro Santos 88' yellowcard
  • goal Alvaro Djalo 36'
  • yellowcard Bruma 46'
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Matheus Magalhaes 85'
  • yellowcard Abel Ruiz 90'+3'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 21
Feb 19, 2023 6.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Municipal de Braga
  • Abel Ruiz 1' goal
  • Simon Banza 81' goal