Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 60.34%. A draw had a probability of 21.77% and a win for Moreirense had a probability of 17.89%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.04%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%) , while for a Moreirense win it was 1-0 (5.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood.