Primeira Liga Gameweek 28
Apr 4, 2026 6.00pm
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas

Moreirense vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Moreirense

All competitions
Last game
Mar 21, 2026 3.30pm
Moreirense 0 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Mateja Stjepanovic

Braga

All competitions
Last game
Mar 22, 2026 8.30pm
Braga 1 - 2 Porto
Goals scored
53
Top scorer
Ricardo Horta

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Braga win with a probability of 58.05%. A draw has a probability of 22.56% and a win for Moreirense has a probability of 19.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win is 0-1 with a probability of 12.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (10.59%) and 1-2 (9.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.61%) , while for a Moreirense win it is 1-0 (5.93%).

Result

Moreirense 19.38% (+0.03)
Draw 22.56%
Braga 58.05% (-0.05)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.59%

Goals

Over 1.5 75.32% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 24.68% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 51.19%
Under 2.5 48.81%
Over 3.5 29.03%
Under 3.5 70.97% (+0.04)
Over 4.5 17.29% (+0.01)
Under 4.5 82.71% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Moreirense 18.54%
Draw 39.62%
Braga 41.84%

Team To Score First

Moreirense 28.76%
No Goal 6.7%
Braga 64.54%

Corners

Over 8 45.91%
Equal 8 12.1%
Under 8 41.99%
Over 9 34.68%
Equal 9 11.23%
Under 9 54.09%
Over 10.5 25.08%
Under 10.5 74.92%

Moreirense Goals

Over 1.5 21.59% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 78.41% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 6.29% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 93.71% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 1.63% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 98.37% (-0.01)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 81.92%
Under 0.5 18.08%
Over 1.5 52.61% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 47.39% (+0.01)
Over 2.5 26.31% (-0.02)
Under 2.5 73.69% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 10.67% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 89.33% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Moreirense 19.38%
Draw 22.57%
Braga 58.05%
Moreirense
1-0 @ 5.93%
2-1 @ 5.01% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.93%
3-1 @ 1.64%
3-2 @ 1.35% (+0.02)
Other @ 1.62% (+0.02)
Total : 19.38%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.61%
0-0 @ 6.7%
2-2 @ 4.48%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 22.57%
Braga
0-1 @ 12.05%
0-2 @ 10.59% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 9.88%
0-3 @ 6.37%
1-3 @ 5.62%
2-3 @ 2.88%
Other @ 10.66% (-0.01)
Total : 58.05%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Nov 9, 2025 8.30pm
2
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2025 6.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Guilherme Schettine 4' goal
  • Pedro Miguel Costa Santos 43' yellowcard
  • Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Joao Moutinho 66'
  • goal Ricardo Horta 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Ricardo Horta 90'+5'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2024 8.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Gabri Martinez 43' goal
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 56' goal
  • Rodrigo Zalazar 76' goal
  • yellowcard Marcelo 25'
  • goal Luis Nlavo 53'
  • yellowcard Pedro Miguel Costa Santos 82'
Club Friendlies 3
Jul 10, 2024 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • goal L. Asue 57'
  • goal L. Asue 71'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 20
Feb 4, 2024 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Braga
  • Abel Ruiz 8' goal
  • Paulo Oliveira 82' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Goncalo Franco 34'
  • yellowcard Lawrence Ofori 36'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 3
Sep 9, 2023 6.00pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas
  • Jobson de Brito Gonzaga 16' yellowcard
  • Andre Luis 40' goal
  • Madson 45'+1' goal
  • Lawrence Ofori 65' yellowcard
  • goal Rony Lopes 27'
  • yellowcard Jose Fonte 32'
  • yellowcard Joao Moutinho 55'
  • goal Simon Banza 82'
  • goal Ali Elmusrati 90'+6'