Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 58.1%. A draw had a probability of 23.94% and a win for Famalicao had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.91%) and 2-1 (9.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.15%) , while for a Famalicao win it was 0-1 (5.88%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.