Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 57.76%. A draw had a probability of 22.55% and a win for Santa Clara had a probability of 19.63%.
The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.16%) and 1-2 (10.13%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.21%) , while for a Santa Clara win it was 1-0 (5.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.