Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (7.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%).