Bundesliga
Freiburg
May 16, 2026 2.30pm
4
1
HT : 2 1
FT Europa-Park Stadion
RB Leipzig
  • Niklas Beste 24' goal
  • Igor Matanovic 26' goal
  • Matthias Ginter 47' goal
  • Vincenzo Grifo 59' yellowcard
  • Lukas Kübler 60' yellowcard
  • Vincenzo Grifo 60' yellowcard
  • Bruno Ogbus 72' yellowcard
  • Lucas Höler 72' yellowcard
  • Derry Scherhant 75' goal
  • Maximilian Philipp 86' yellowcard
  • goal Assan Ouédraogo 33'
  • yellowcard Ridle Baku 62'
  • yellowcard Antonio Nusa 63'
  • yellowcard Ridle Baku 63'
  • yellowcard Tidiam Gomis 73'
  • yellowcard Rômulo 73'
  • yellowcard Johan Bakayoko 80'
  • yellowcard Johan Bakayoko 81'

Freiburg vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Freiburg

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 2.30pm
Hamburger SV 3 - 2 Freiburg
Goals scored
51
Top scorer
Igor Matanovic

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
May 9, 2026 2.30pm
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 St Pauli
Goals scored
66
Top scorer
Christoph Baumgartner

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 45.98%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 30.56% and a draw had a probability of 23.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.88%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (7.42%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%).

Result

Freiburg 45.98% ▼ (-0.02)
Draw 23.45% ▼ (-0.04)
RB Leipzig 30.56% ▲ (+0.03)

Both Teams to Score: 

60.69% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 81.77% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 18.23% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 60.57% ▲ (+0.11)
Under 2.5 39.43% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 38.06% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 3.5 61.94% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 4.5 23.28% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 4.5 76.72% ▼ (-0.08)

First Half Winner

Freiburg 31.81%
Draw 39.66%
RB Leipzig 28.53%

Team To Score First

Freiburg 47.4% ▲ (+0.02)
No Goal 4.71% ▼ (-0.04)
RB Leipzig 47.89% ▲ (+0.01)

Corners

Over 8 60.13%
Equal 8 12.16%
Under 8 27.71%
Over 9 47.43%
Equal 9 12.71%
Under 9 39.87%
Over 10.5 35.41%
Under 10.5 64.59%

Freiburg Goals

Over 1.5 49.45% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 50.55% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 2.5 24.47% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 2.5 75.53% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 3.5 10.08% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 3.5 89.92% ▼ (-0.04)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 66.74% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 33.26% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 1.5 36.45% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 63.55% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 2.5 15.81% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 2.5 84.19% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 3.5 5.42% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 3.5 94.58% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

Freiburg 45.99%
Draw 23.46%
RB Leipzig 30.55%
Freiburg
2-1 @ 9.03%
1-0 @ 7.83% ▼ (-0.02)
2-0 @ 6.88% ▼ (-0.04)
3-1 @ 5.1% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 4.14% ▼ (-0.02)
3-2 @ 3.31% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 9.7% ▲ (+0.04)
Total : 45.99%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 6.06% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.71% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.84%
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 23.46%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 7.42% ▲ (+0.01)
0-1 @ 5.69% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.85%
1-3 @ 3.62%
2-3 @ 3.01% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 1.92%
Other @ 5.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 30.55%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 17
RB Leipzig
Jan 14, 2026 7.30pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Freiburg
  • Willi Orbán 53' goal
  • Rômulo 56' goal
  • Antonio Nusa 60' yellowcard
  • Yan Diomande 60' yellowcard
  • Conrad Harder 74' yellowcard
  • Ezechiel Banzuzi 88' yellowcard
  • El Chadaille Bitshiabu 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Yuito Suzuki 14'
  • yellowcard Philipp Treu 52'
  • yellowcard Vincenzo Grifo 55'
  • yellowcard Igor Matanovic 65'
  • yellowcard Jan-Niklas Beste 65'
  • yellowcard Niklas Beste 65'
  • yellowcard Niklas Beste 77'
  • yellowcard Derry Scherhant 85'
  • yellowcard Jordy Makengo 85'
  • yellowcard Jordy Makengo 86'
  • yellowcard Maximilian Eggestein 90'+6'
Bundesliga Gameweek 25
Freiburg
Mar 8, 2025 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
RB Leipzig
  • yellowcard Willi Orban 50'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Seiwald 63'
  • yellowcard David Raum 87'
Bundesliga Gameweek 8
RB Leipzig
Oct 26, 2024 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 1
FT Red Bull Arena
Freiburg
  • Chukwubuike Adamu 38' yellowcard
  • Willi Orban 47' goal
  • Lutsharel Geertruida 58' goal
  • Lois Openda 79' goal
  • Lois Openda 88' yellowcard
  • Arthur Vermeeren 88' yellowcard
  • goal Ritsu Doan 15'
  • yellowcard Lutsharel Geertruida 46'
  • yellowcard Philipp Lienhart 80'
Bundesliga Gameweek 28
Freiburg
Apr 6, 2024 2.30pm
1
4
HT : 0 3
FT Schwarzwald-Stadion
RB Leipzig
  • Vincenzo Grifo 59' goal
  • Lucas Holer 64' yellowcard
  • Roland Sallai 90'+2' yellowcard
  • Roland Sallai 90'+2' yellowcard
  • goal Amadou Haidara 2'
  • goal Lois Openda 18'
  • goal Lois Openda 44'
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 54'
  • yellowcard Xaver Schlager 64'
  • yellowcard David Raum 68'
  • yellowcard Willi Orban 73'
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 75'
  • yellowcard Ritsu Doan 79'
Bundesliga Gameweek 11
RB Leipzig
Nov 12, 2023 6.30pm
3
1
HT : 1 1
FT Red Bull Arena
Freiburg
  • Xavi Simons 6' goal
  • Amadou Haidara 62' yellowcard
  • Lois Openda 63' yellowcard
  • Lois Openda 79' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 80' goal
  • goal Merlin Rohl 45'+6'
Bundesliga Gameweek 31
Freiburg
May 6, 2023 2.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • goal Kevin Kampl 73'

Form Data

Hamburger SV 3 - 2 Freiburg
Freiburg 3 - 1 Braga
Freiburg 1 - 1 Wolfsburg
Braga 2 - 1 Freiburg
Dortmund 4 - 0 Freiburg
Stuttgart 2 - 1 Freiburg
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 St Pauli
B. Leverkusen 4 - 1 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 3 - 1 Union Berlin
Frankfurt 1 - 3 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Borussia M'bach
Werder Bremen 1 - 2 RB Leipzig