Bundesliga Gameweek 32
May 2, 2026 5.30pm
BayArena

Bayer Leverkusen vs RB Leipzig - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 2.30pm
FC Koln 1 - 2 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
61
Top scorer
Patrik Schick

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 7.30pm
RB Leipzig 3 - 1 Union Berlin
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Yan Diomande

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 41.57%. A win for RB Leipzig has a probability of 35.5% and a draw has a probability of 22.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win is 2-1 with a probability of 8.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.06%) and 2-0 (6.49%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win is 1-2 (8.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.19%).

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 41.57%
Draw 22.93%
RB Leipzig 35.5% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.47%

Goals

Over 1.5 80.69% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 19.31% (+0.03)
Over 2.5 59.39% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 40.61% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 37.03%
Under 3.5 62.97%
Over 4.5 22.43% (-0.02)
Under 4.5 77.57% (+0.01)

First Half Winner

Bayer Leverkusen 30.52%
Draw 37.19%
RB Leipzig 32.29%

Team To Score First

Bayer Leverkusen 44.97%
No Goal 4.79% (-0.01)
RB Leipzig 50.24% (+0.02)

Corners

Over 8 60.12%
Equal 8 11.79%
Under 8 28.08%
Over 9 47.84%
Equal 9 12.28%
Under 9 39.88%
Over 10.5 36.21%
Under 10.5 63.79%

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 1.5 44.68%
Under 1.5 55.32%
Over 2.5 20.74% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 79.26% (-0.01)
Over 3.5 7.88% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 92.12% (-0.01)

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5 69.51% (-0.05)
Under 0.5 30.49% (+0.05)
Over 1.5 40.14% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 59.86% (+0.04)
Over 2.5 17.93%
Under 2.5 82.07%
Over 3.5 6.81% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 93.19% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 41.56%
Draw 22.92%
RB Leipzig 35.5%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 8.11%
1-0 @ 8.06% (-0.01)
2-0 @ 6.49% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 4.63%
3-0 @ 3.49% (+0.02)
3-2 @ 3.14% (-0.01)
Other @ 7.64% (+0.01)
Total : 41.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.19% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 6.1%
0-0 @ 4.79% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 0.24%
Total : 22.92%
RB Leipzig
1-2 @ 8.34%
0-1 @ 6.44% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.63% (-0.03)
1-3 @ 3.87%
2-3 @ 3.24%
0-3 @ 2.41% (+0.02)
Other @ 6.57% (-0.01)
Total : 35.5%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Dec 20, 2025 5.30pm
1
3
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Xaver Schlager 35' goal
  • Castello Lukeba 90'+11' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Arthur 30'
  • goal Martin Terrier 40'
  • goal Patrik Schick 44'
  • yellowcard Axel Tape-Kobrissa 87'
  • goal Montrell Amare Culbreath 90'+7'
Bundesliga Gameweek 19
Jan 25, 2025 2.30pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Red Bull Arena
  • David Raum 41' goal
  • Xavi Simons 79' yellowcard
  • Edmond Tapsoba 85' goal
  • Christoph Baumgartner 88' yellowcard
  • goal Patrik Schick 18'
  • goal Aleix Garcia 36'
  • yellowcard Robert Andrich 40'
  • yellowcard Edmond Tapsoba 42'
Bundesliga Gameweek 2
Aug 31, 2024 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 2 1
FT BayArena
  • Victor Boniface 12' yellowcard
  • Jeremie Frimpong 18' yellowcard
  • Jeremie Frimpong 39' goal
  • Alex Grimaldo 45' goal
  • Edmond Tapsoba 82' yellowcard
  • redcard Marco Rose 26'
  • yellowcard Marco Rose 26'
  • goal Kevin Kampl 45'+7'
  • goal Lois Openda 57'
  • yellowcard Lukas Klostermann 61'
  • goal Lois Openda 80'
Bundesliga Gameweek 18
Jan 20, 2024 5.30pm
2
3
HT : 1 0
FT Trainingszentrum RB Leipzig Platz 1
  • Xavi Simons 7' goal
  • Lois Openda 56' goal
  • Xavi Simons 71' yellowcard
  • Xaver Schlager 87' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jonathan Tah 12'
  • yellowcard Xabi Alonso 34'
  • yellowcard Josip Stanisic 38'
  • goal Nathan Tella 47'
  • goal Jonathan Tah 63'
  • yellowcard Florian Wirtz 66'
  • goal Piero Hincapie 90'+1'
Bundesliga Gameweek 1
Aug 19, 2023 2.30pm
3
2
HT : 2 1
FT BayArena
  • Jeremie Frimpong 24' goal
  • Jonathan Tah 35' goal
  • Florian Wirtz 64' goal
  • Victor Okoh Boniface 69' yellowcard
  • goal Dani Olmo 39'
  • yellowcard Nicolas Seiwald 62'
  • goal Lois Openda 71'
  • yellowcard Castello Lukeba 81'
Bundesliga Gameweek 29
Apr 23, 2023 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Adam Hlozek 40' goal
  • Nadiem Amiri 86' goal