Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 41.61%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 35.5% and a draw had a probability of 22.93%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.07%) and 2-0 (6.5%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-2 (8.34%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.2%).