Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 58%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 19.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.37%) and 2-1 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.65%) , while for a Augsburg win it was 0-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.