Bundesliga Gameweek 31
RB Leipzig
Apr 24, 2026 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Union Berlin
  • Max Finkgräfe 22' goal
  • Rômulo 25' goal
  • Ridle Baku 63' goal
  • Brajan Gruda 68' yellowcard
  • Conrad Harder 68' yellowcard
  • Conrad Harder 70' yellowcard
  • Johan Bakayoko 79' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Henrichs 79' yellowcard
  • Tidiam Gomis 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carl Klaus 31'
  • yellowcard Ilyas Ansah 59'
  • yellowcard Ilyas Ansah 60'
  • yellowcard Josip Juranovic 60'
  • yellowcard Aljoscha Kemlein 60'
  • yellowcard Josip Juranovic 61'
  • yellowcard Aljoscha Kemlein 61'
  • goal Danilho Doekhi 78'
  • yellowcard Livan Burcu 83'

RB Leipzig vs Union Berlin - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

RB Leipzig

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 5.30pm
Frankfurt 1 - 3 RB Leipzig
Goals scored
62
Top scorer
Yan Diomande

Union Berlin

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 2.30pm
Union Berlin 1 - 2 Wolfsburg
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Rani Khedira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 63.66%. A draw had a probability of 19.29% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 17.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 2-1 with a probability of 10.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.72%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%) , while for a Union Berlin win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.2% likelihood.

Result

RB Leipzig 63.66% ▲ (+0.04)
Draw 19.29%
Union Berlin 17.06% ▲ (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

58.76% ▼ (-0.03)

Goals

Over 1.5 83.91% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 16.09% ▼ (-0.02)
Over 2.5 64.65%
Under 2.5 35.35%
Over 3.5 42.06% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 57.94% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 4.5 28.1% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 4.5 71.9% ▼ (-0.06)

First Half Winner

RB Leipzig 49.01% ▲ (+0.08)
Draw 33.62% ▼ (-0.10)
Union Berlin 17.37% ▲ (+0.02)

Team To Score First

RB Leipzig 66.62% ▲ (+0.04)
No Goal 3.85%
Union Berlin 29.53% ▼ (-0.03)

Corners

Over 8 65.97%
Equal 8 10.22%
Under 8 23.81%
Over 9 54.86%
Equal 9 11.1%
Under 9 34.03%
Over 10.5 43.78%
Under 10.5 56.22%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 1.5 63.85% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 1.5 36.15% ▼ (-0.07)
Over 2.5 38.09% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 2.5 61.91% ▼ (-0.06)
Over 3.5 18.58% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 3.5 81.42% ▼ (-0.02)

Union Berlin Goals

Over 0.5 53.89% ▲ (+0.01)
Under 0.5 46.11% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 1.5 24.21% ▲ (+0.02)
Under 1.5 75.79% ▼ (-0.01)
Over 2.5 8.21% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 2.5 91.79% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 3.5 2.41% ▲ (+0.03)
Under 3.5 97.59% ▼ (-0.02)

Score analysis

RB Leipzig 63.66%
Draw 19.3%
Union Berlin 17.04%
RB Leipzig
2-1 @ 10.12% ▼ (-0.03)
2-0 @ 8.72% ▲ (+0.03)
1-0 @ 8.48% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 7.2% ▲ (+0.03)
3-0 @ 6.75% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 4.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 18.31% ▲ (+0.01)
Total : 63.66%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.6% ▼ (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.1%
0-0 @ 3.85%
3-3 @ 1.48% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 19.3%
Union Berlin
1-2 @ 4.88% ▼ (-0.04)
0-1 @ 3.76% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.94%
2-3 @ 1.82% ▲ (+0.02)
1-3 @ 1.67% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 2.14% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 17.04%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Union Berlin
Dec 12, 2025 7.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
RB Leipzig
  • Janik Haberer 37' yellowcard
  • Danilho Doekhi 54' yellowcard
  • Oliver Burke 57' goal
  • Ilyas Ansah 63' goal
  • Tim Skarke 90'+3' goal
  • yellowcard David Raum 50'
  • goal Tidiam Gomis 60'
  • yellowcard Conrad Harder 72'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
Union Berlin
Feb 1, 2025 5.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
RB Leipzig
  • Josip Juranovic 32' yellowcard
  • Diogo Leite 49' yellowcard
  • Laszlo Benes 90'+5' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Christoph Baumgartner 64'
  • yellowcard Yussuf Poulsen 78'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
RB Leipzig
Sep 14, 2024 2.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Union Berlin
  • Amadou Haidara 53' yellowcard
  • Kevin Kampl 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Laszlo Benes 26'
  • yellowcard Rani Khedira 61'
  • yellowcard Bo Svensson 84'
  • yellowcard Danilho Doekhi 85'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
RB Leipzig
Feb 4, 2024 4.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Red Bull Arena
Union Berlin
  • Lois Openda 11' goal
  • Kevin Kampl 20' yellowcard
  • Benjamin Sesko 48' goal
  • yellowcard Benedict Hollerbach 22'
  • yellowcard Lucas Tousart 47'
  • redcard Christopher Trimmel 73'
Bundesliga Gameweek 3
Union Berlin
Sep 3, 2023 4.30pm
0
3
HT : 0 0
FT Stadion An der Alten Forsterei
RB Leipzig
  • Alex Kral 27' yellowcard
  • Kevin Volland 64' redcard
  • Robin Gosens 80' yellowcard
  • Janik Haberer 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Benjamin Henrichs 26'
  • goal Xavi Simons 51'
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 85'
  • goal Benjamin Sesko 87'
Bundesliga Gameweek 20
RB Leipzig
Feb 11, 2023 5.30pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT
Union Berlin
  • Benjamin Henrichs 24' goal
  • goal Janik Haberer 61'
  • goal Robin Knoche 72'

Form Data

Frankfurt 1 - 3 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 1 - 0 Borussia M'bach
Werder Bremen 1 - 2 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 5 - 0 Hoffenheim
Stuttgart 1 - 0 RB Leipzig
RB Leipzig 2 - 1 Augsburg
Union Berlin 1 - 2 Wolfsburg
Heidenheim 3 - 1 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 1 - 1 St Pauli
Bayern 4 - 0 Union Berlin
Freiburg 0 - 1 Union Berlin
Union Berlin 1 - 4 Werder Bremen