Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 48.57%. A win for FC Koln had a probability of 27.21% and a draw had a probability of 24.22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.27%) and 0-2 (8.46%). The likeliest FC Koln win was 1-0 (6.44%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.