Bundesliga Gameweek 30
Apr 17, 2026 7.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Millerntor-Stadion
  • Manolis Saliakas 65' yellowcard
  • Karol Mets 69' goal
  • Connor Metcalfe 77' yellowcard
  • Martijn Kaars 87' yellowcard
  • Martijn Kaars 88' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Linton Maina 46'
  • yellowcard Marius Bülter 51'
  • yellowcard Marius Bülter 52'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Lund 70'
  • yellowcard Luca Waldschmidt 79'
  • yellowcard Felipe Chavez 79'
  • yellowcard Felipe Chavez 80'
  • yellowcard Luca Waldschmidt 86'

St Pauli vs FC Koln - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

St Pauli

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 5.30pm
St Pauli 0 - 5 Bayern
Goals scored
26
Top scorer
Martijn Kaars

FC Koln

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 2.30pm
FC Koln 3 - 1 Werder Bremen
Goals scored
42
Top scorer
Ragnar Ache

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 38.92%. A win for St Pauli had a probability of 33.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.22%) and 0-2 (6.62%). The likeliest St Pauli win was 1-0 (10.25%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result

St Pauli 33.56% (-0.59)
Draw 27.49% (+0.72)
FC Koln 38.92% (-0.13)

Both Teams to Score: 

49.54% (-0.28)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.62% (-0.20)
Under 1.5 29.38% (+0.20)
Over 2.5 45.66% (-0.04)
Under 2.5 54.34% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 25.12% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 74.88% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 13.15% (-0.09)
Under 4.5 86.85% (+0.09)

First Half Winner

St Pauli 24.65% (-1.46)
Draw 43.45% (+1.11)
FC Koln 31.9% (+0.34)

Team To Score First

St Pauli 41.29% (-0.24)
No Goal 8.63% (+0.35)
FC Koln 50.08% (-0.11)

Corners

Over 8 54.06% (-4.38)
Equal 8 11.8% (+0.03)
Under 8 34.14% (+4.36)
Over 9 42.39% (-3.97)
Equal 9 11.68% (-0.42)
Under 9 45.94% (+4.38)
Over 10.5 31.78% (-3.25)
Under 10.5 68.22% (+3.25)

St Pauli Goals

Over 1.5 31.84% (-0.24)
Under 1.5 68.16% (+0.23)
Over 2.5 11.24% (-0.11)
Under 2.5 88.76% (+0.11)
Over 3.5 3.19% (-0.04)
Under 3.5 96.81% (+0.04)

FC Koln Goals

Over 0.5 69.76% (-0.10)
Under 0.5 30.24% (+0.10)
Over 1.5 36.82% (+0.32)
Under 1.5 63.18% (-0.32)
Over 2.5 14.72% (+0.13)
Under 2.5 85.28% (-0.13)
Over 3.5 5.27% (+0.19)
Under 3.5 94.73% (-0.19)

Score analysis

St Pauli 33.56%
Draw 27.49%
FC Koln 38.9%
St Pauli
1-0 @ 10.25% (-0.09)
2-1 @ 7.16% (-0.17)
2-0 @ 6.02% (-0.05)
3-1 @ 2.99% (-0.07)
3-0 @ 2.24% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 1.85% (-0.08)
Other @ 3.05% (-0.14)
Total : 33.56%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.34% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 8.63% (+0.35)
2-2 @ 5.41% (+0.25)
Other @ 0.14% (+0.10)
Total : 27.49%
FC Koln
0-1 @ 10.45% (-0.11)
1-2 @ 8.22% (+0.05)
0-2 @ 6.62% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.09)
0-3 @ 2.91% (+0.09)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.18)
Other @ 5.13% (+0.09)
Total : 38.9%

Head to Head

Bundesliga
Dec 6, 2025 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Said El Mala 51' goal
  • goal Ricky Jade-Jones 90'+4'
  • yellowcard Ricky Jade-Jones 90'+5'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 21
Feb 8, 2019 5.30pm
4
1
HT : 1 1
FT RheinEnergieStadion (Köln)
  • Jhon Cordoba 32' goal
  • Jhon Cordoba 53' goal
  • Jhon Cordoba 54' yellowcard
  • Jhon Cordoba 58' goal
  • Simon Terodde 85' goal
  • goal Alexander Meier 38'
  • yellowcard Florian Carstens 47'
2.Bundesliga Gameweek 4
Sep 2, 2018 12.30pm
3
5
HT : 2 2
FT Millerntor-Stadion (Hamburg)
  • Henk Veerman 13' goal
  • Jeremy Dudziak 25' goal
  • Mats Moller Daehli 27' yellowcard
  • Christopher Buchtmann 65' goal
  • goal Christian Clemens 35'
  • goal Simon Terodde 45'
  • goal Simon Terodde 53'
  • goal Sehrou Guirassy 57'
  • yellowcard Lasse Sobiech 78'
  • goal Salih Ozcan 90'
  • yellowcard Niklas Hauptmann 90'