Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
May 2, 2026 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estádio Do Dragão
  • Jan Bednarek 40' goal
  • Alan Varela 46' yellowcard
  • 46' yellowcard
  • Martim Fernandes 46' yellowcard
  • Borja Sainz 63' yellowcard
  • Seko Fofana 74' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Mora 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 77'
  • yellowcard Marko Milovanović 77'
  • yellowcard Zakaria Kessary 89'
  • yellowcard Diogo Spencer 89'
  • yellowcard Cédric Jean-Luc Nuozzi 90'
  • yellowcard Diogo Spencer 90'

Porto vs Alverca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 6.00pm
Estrela Amadora 1 - 2 Porto
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Samu Omorodion

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 8.15pm
Alverca 2 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 71.07%. A draw had a probability of 19.91% and a win for Alverca had a probability of 9.06%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.93%) and 3-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (9.2%) , while for a Alverca win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 16.6% likelihood.

Result

Porto 71.07%
Draw 19.91%
Alverca 9.06% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.22%

Goals

Over 1.5 70.59%
Under 1.5 29.41%
Over 2.5 46.52%
Under 2.5 53.48%
Over 3.5 25.02%
Under 3.5 74.98%
Over 4.5 16.79%
Under 4.5 83.21%

First Half Winner

Porto 49.28%
Draw 37.49%
Alverca 13.23%

Team To Score First

Porto 69.41%
No Goal 9.2%
Alverca 21.39%

Corners

Over 8 54.89%
Equal 8 12.11%
Under 8 32.99%
Over 9 42.82%
Equal 9 12.07%
Under 9 45.11%
Over 10.5 31.82%
Under 10.5 68.18%

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 57.68%
Under 1.5 42.32%
Over 2.5 31.19%
Under 2.5 68.81%
Over 3.5 13.53%
Under 3.5 86.47%

Alverca Goals

Over 0.5 36.07%
Under 0.5 63.93%
Over 1.5 10.26%
Under 1.5 89.74%
Over 2.5 1.91%
Under 2.5 98.09%
Over 3.5 0.32%
Under 3.5 99.68%

Score analysis

Porto 71.07%
Draw 19.93%
Alverca 9.07%
Porto
1-0 @ 16.6%
2-0 @ 14.93%
3-0 @ 9.75%
2-1 @ 8.71%
3-1 @ 5.43%
3-2 @ 2.13%
Other @ 13.52%
Total : 71.07%
Draw
0-0 @ 9.2%
1-1 @ 7.99%
2-2 @ 2.38%
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 19.93%
Alverca
0-1 @ 3.68%
1-2 @ 2.71%
0-2 @ 1.13%
Other @ 0.31%
Total : 9.07%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Dec 22, 2025 6.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sabit Abdulai 85' yellowcard
  • goal Borja Sainz 29'
  • goal Alan Varela 57'
  • yellowcard Borja Sainz 63'
  • goal Borja Sainz 69'