Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
May 2, 2026 8.30pm
Estádio Do Dragão

Porto vs Alverca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Porto

All competitions
Last game
Apr 26, 2026 6.00pm
Estrela Amadora 1 - 2 Porto
Goals scored
63
Top scorer
Samu Omorodion

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 8.15pm
Alverca 2 - 1 Arouca
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Porto win with a probability of 70.98%. A draw has a probability of 20% and a win for Alverca has a probability of 9.07%.

The most likely scoreline for a Porto win is 1-0 with a probability of 16.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (14.91%) and 3-0 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (9.22%) , while for a Alverca win it is 0-1 (3.68%).

Result

Porto 70.98% (+0.08)
Draw 20%
Alverca 9.07% (-0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

38.2% (-0.08)

Goals

Over 1.5 70.57%
Under 1.5 29.43%
Over 2.5 46.53%
Under 2.5 53.47%
Over 3.5 25.02%
Under 3.5 74.98%
Over 4.5 16.78% (-0.01)
Under 4.5 83.22% (+0.02)

First Half Winner

Porto 49.28%
Draw 37.45%
Alverca 13.26%

Team To Score First

Porto 69.49%
No Goal 9.22% (+0.01)
Alverca 21.29% (-0.02)

Corners

Over 8 55.21%
Equal 8 12.12%
Under 8 32.67%
Over 9 43.09%
Equal 9 12.11%
Under 9 44.79%
Over 10.5 32.04%
Under 10.5 67.96%

Porto Goals

Over 1.5 57.65% (+0.01)
Under 1.5 42.35% (-0.01)
Over 2.5 31.16% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 68.84% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 13.52% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 86.48% (-0.02)

Alverca Goals

Over 0.5 36.09% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 63.91% (+0.03)
Over 1.5 10.3% (-0.04)
Under 1.5 89.7% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 1.93% (-0.05)
Under 2.5 98.07% (+0.04)
Over 3.5 0.31% (-0.02)
Under 3.5 99.69% (+0.01)

Score analysis

Porto 70.98%
Draw 20.01%
Alverca 9.07%
Porto
1-0 @ 16.59% (+0.02)
2-0 @ 14.91% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.74% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 8.7% (-0.02)
3-1 @ 5.41% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.12%
Other @ 13.51% (+0.02)
Total : 70.98%
Draw
0-0 @ 9.22% (+0.01)
1-1 @ 8%
2-2 @ 2.41% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 20.01%
Alverca
0-1 @ 3.68% (+0.02)
1-2 @ 2.72%
0-2 @ 1.12% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.3% (-0.02)
Total : 9.07%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Dec 22, 2025 6.45pm
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Sabit Abdulai 85' yellowcard
  • goal Borja Sainz 29'
  • goal Alan Varela 57'
  • yellowcard Borja Sainz 63'
  • goal Borja Sainz 69'