Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 24, 2026 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
  • Kaiky Marques Naves 9' goal
  • Marko Milovanović 68' yellowcard
  • Steven Baseya 68' yellowcard
  • Steven Baseya 69' yellowcard
  • Marko Milovanović 71' goal
  • Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 82' yellowcard
  • Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 83' yellowcard
  • Diogo Spencer 90' yellowcard
  • Vasco Moreira 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Diogo Spencer 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Espen van Ee 49'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Trezza 60'
  • yellowcard Mateo Flores 75'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 75'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 76'
  • yellowcard Fally Mayulu 83'
  • yellowcard Brian Mansilla 83'
  • yellowcard Fally Mayulu 84'

Alverca vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.30pm
Nacional 1 - 0 Alverca
Goals scored
35
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 3.30pm
Arouca 1 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
47
Top scorer
Hyun-ju Lee

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alverca win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alverca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-2 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Alverca 44.19% ▼ (-0.11)
Draw 24.7% ▼ (-0.08)
Arouca 31.14% ▲ (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.74% ▲ (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.51% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 1.5 21.49% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 2.5 56.13% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 2.5 43.87% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 3.5 33.58% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 3.5 66.42% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 4.5 19.66% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 4.5 80.34% ▼ (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Alverca 31.46% ▲ (+0.02)
Draw 45.19%
Arouca 23.35% ▼ (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Alverca 50.54% ▼ (-0.15)
No Goal 5.93% ▼ (-0.07)
Arouca 43.53% ▲ (+0.22)

Corners

Over 8 41.8% ▼ (-0.31)
Equal 8 12.49% ▼ (-0.07)
Under 8 45.72% ▲ (+0.37)
Over 9 30.59% ▼ (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.21% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 9 58.2% ▲ (+0.31)
Over 10.5 21.35% ▼ (-0.14)
Under 10.5 78.65% ▲ (+0.15)

Alverca Goals

Over 1.5 45.67% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 1.5 54.33% ▲ (+0.05)
Over 2.5 21.32% ▼ (-0.08)
Under 2.5 78.68% ▲ (+0.08)
Over 3.5 8.31% ▼ (-0.05)
Under 3.5 91.69% ▲ (+0.05)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 66.99% ▲ (+0.16)
Under 0.5 33.01% ▼ (-0.17)
Over 1.5 35.03% ▲ (+0.26)
Under 1.5 64.97% ▼ (-0.27)
Over 2.5 13.69% ▲ (+0.20)
Under 2.5 86.31% ▼ (-0.21)
Over 3.5 4.37% ▲ (+0.07)
Under 3.5 95.63% ▼ (-0.07)

Score analysis

Alverca 44.19%
Draw 24.7%
Arouca 31.14%
Alverca
2-1 @ 9.14% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.77% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.6% ▼ (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.82% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.65% ▼ (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.12% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 8.09% ▼ (-0.07)
Total : 44.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18% ▼ (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.93% ▼ (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.42% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 0.22% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 24.7%
Arouca
1-2 @ 7.67% ▲ (+0.05)
0-1 @ 6.82% ▼ (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.6% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.15% ▲ (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.66% ▲ (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.09% ▲ (+0.03)
Other @ 4.15% ▲ (+0.06)
Total : 31.14%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Dec 14, 2025 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hyun-ju Lee 59' goal
  • Tiago Esgaio 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sandro Cesar 18'
  • redcard Sandro Cesar 22'
  • redcard Sandro Cesar 23'
  • yellowcard Nabili Touaizi 34'
  • yellowcard Kaiky Naves 41'
  • yellowcard Lincoln 73'
  • yellowcard Lincoln 74'
  • yellowcard 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Francisco Rodrigues 90'+5'