Primeira Liga Gameweek 31
Apr 24, 2026 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 1 0
FT Complexo Desportivo FC Alverca
  • Kaiky Marques Naves 9' goal
  • Marko Milovanović 68' yellowcard
  • Steven Baseya 68' yellowcard
  • Steven Baseya 69' yellowcard
  • Marko Milovanović 71' goal
  • Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 82' yellowcard
  • Davy Jean Carl Kamon Gui 83' yellowcard
  • Diogo Spencer 90' yellowcard
  • Vasco Moreira 90'+1' yellowcard
  • Diogo Spencer 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Espen van Ee 49'
  • yellowcard Alfonso Trezza 60'
  • yellowcard Mateo Flores 75'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 75'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 76'
  • yellowcard Fally Mayulu 83'
  • yellowcard Brian Mansilla 83'
  • yellowcard Fally Mayulu 84'

Alverca vs Arouca - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Alverca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 18, 2026 3.30pm
Nacional 1 - 0 Alverca
Goals scored
34
Top scorer
Marko Milovanovic

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 19, 2026 3.30pm
Arouca 1 - 0 Estrela Amadora
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Iván Barbero

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alverca win with a probability of 44.19%. A win for Arouca had a probability of 31.14% and a draw had a probability of 24.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Alverca win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.77%) and 2-0 (6.6%). The likeliest Arouca win was 1-2 (7.67%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.

Result

Alverca 44.19% (-0.11)
Draw 24.7% (-0.08)
Arouca 31.14% (+0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.74% (+0.10)

Goals

Over 1.5 78.51% (+0.08)
Under 1.5 21.49% (-0.08)
Over 2.5 56.13% (+0.16)
Under 2.5 43.87% (-0.11)
Over 3.5 33.58% (+0.09)
Under 3.5 66.42% (-0.10)
Over 4.5 19.66% (+0.09)
Under 4.5 80.34% (-0.10)

First Half Winner

Alverca 31.46% (+0.02)
Draw 45.19%
Arouca 23.35% (-0.02)

Team To Score First

Alverca 50.54% (-0.15)
No Goal 5.93% (-0.07)
Arouca 43.53% (+0.22)

Corners

Over 8 41.8% (-0.31)
Equal 8 12.49% (-0.07)
Under 8 45.72% (+0.37)
Over 9 30.59% (-0.22)
Equal 9 11.21% (-0.08)
Under 9 58.2% (+0.31)
Over 10.5 21.35% (-0.14)
Under 10.5 78.65% (+0.15)

Alverca Goals

Over 1.5 45.67% (-0.05)
Under 1.5 54.33% (+0.05)
Over 2.5 21.32% (-0.08)
Under 2.5 78.68% (+0.08)
Over 3.5 8.31% (-0.05)
Under 3.5 91.69% (+0.05)

Arouca Goals

Over 0.5 66.99% (+0.16)
Under 0.5 33.01% (-0.17)
Over 1.5 35.03% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 64.97% (-0.27)
Over 2.5 13.69% (+0.20)
Under 2.5 86.31% (-0.21)
Over 3.5 4.37% (+0.07)
Under 3.5 95.63% (-0.07)

Score analysis

Alverca 44.19%
Draw 24.7%
Arouca 31.14%
Alverca
2-1 @ 9.14% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 8.77% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 6.6% (-0.03)
3-1 @ 4.82% (-0.05)
3-0 @ 3.65% (-0.03)
3-2 @ 3.12% (+0.03)
Other @ 8.09% (-0.07)
Total : 44.19%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.18% (-0.05)
2-2 @ 5.95%
0-0 @ 5.93% (-0.07)
3-3 @ 1.42% (+0.03)
Other @ 0.22% (+0.02)
Total : 24.7%
Arouca
1-2 @ 7.67% (+0.05)
0-1 @ 6.82% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 4.6% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 3.15% (+0.05)
2-3 @ 2.66% (+0.06)
0-3 @ 2.09% (+0.03)
Other @ 4.15% (+0.06)
Total : 31.14%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Dec 14, 2025 8.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hyun-ju Lee 59' goal
  • Tiago Esgaio 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sandro Cesar 18'
  • redcard Sandro Cesar 22'
  • redcard Sandro Cesar 23'
  • yellowcard Nabili Touaizi 34'
  • yellowcard Kaiky Naves 41'
  • yellowcard Lincoln 73'
  • yellowcard Lincoln 74'
  • yellowcard 90'+5'
  • yellowcard Francisco Rodrigues 90'+5'