Arouca vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arouca win with a probability of 46%. A win for Estrela Amadora had a probability of 28.39% and a draw had a probability of 25.61%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arouca win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win was 0-1 (7.48%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.