Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2026 3.30pm
Estádio Municipal de Arouca

Arouca vs Estrela Amadora - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Arouca

All competitions
Last game
Apr 12, 2026 6.00pm
Braga 1 - 0 Arouca
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Iván Barbero

Estrela Amadora

All competitions
Last game
Apr 11, 2026 8.30pm
Estrela Amadora 0 - 1 Sporting Lisbon
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Abraham Marcus

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Arouca win with a probability of 45.55%. A win for Estrela Amadora has a probability of 28.85% and a draw has a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Arouca win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Estrela Amadora win is 0-1 (7.52%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.92%).

Result

Arouca 45.55% (-2.64)
Draw 25.6% (+0.17)
Estrela Amadora 28.85% (+2.55)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.01% (+0.67)

Goals

Over 1.5 75.01% (+0.11)
Under 1.5 24.99% (-0.11)
Over 2.5 50.79% (-0.07)
Under 2.5 49.21% (+0.07)
Over 3.5 27.88% (+0.15)
Under 3.5 72.09% (-0.18)
Over 4.5 15.4%
Under 4.5 84.6%

First Half Winner

Arouca 31.87% (-3.16)
Draw 42.92% (+1.04)
Estrela Amadora 25.21% (+2.11)

Team To Score First

Arouca 44.88% (-7.86)
No Goal 7.08% (+0.13)
Estrela Amadora 48.04% (+7.75)

Corners

Over 8 64.03% (-0.74)
Equal 8 10.91% (+0.15)
Under 8 25.06% (+0.60)
Over 9 52.32% (-0.83)
Equal 9 11.71% (+0.10)
Under 9 35.98% (+0.75)
Over 10.5 40.84% (-0.85)
Under 10.5 59.16% (+0.85)

Arouca Goals

Over 1.5 43.83% (-2.02)
Under 1.5 56.17% (+2.02)
Over 2.5 19.14% (-1.40)
Under 2.5 80.86% (+1.41)
Over 3.5 6.78% (-0.57)
Under 3.5 93.22% (+0.57)

Estrela Amadora Goals

Over 0.5 63.82% (+1.79)
Under 0.5 36.18% (-1.79)
Over 1.5 30.51% (+2.23)
Under 1.5 69.49% (-2.22)
Over 2.5 10.79% (+1.23)
Under 2.5 89.21% (-1.24)
Over 3.5 3.05% (+0.48)
Under 3.5 96.95% (-0.49)

Score analysis

Arouca 45.55%
Draw 25.61%
Estrela Amadora 28.86%
Arouca
1-0 @ 10.41% (-0.41)
2-1 @ 9.36% (-0.45)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.36)
3-1 @ 4.51% (-0.25)
3-0 @ 4.19% (-0.50)
3-2 @ 2.56% (-0.13)
Other @ 6.61% (-0.56)
Total : 45.55%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.92% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.08% (+0.13)
2-2 @ 5.34% (+0.04)
3-3 @ 1.1% (+0.05)
Other @ 0.17% (-0.01)
Total : 25.61%
Estrela Amadora
0-1 @ 7.52% (+0.26)
1-2 @ 7.43% (+0.54)
0-2 @ 4.39% (+0.54)
1-3 @ 2.63% (+0.36)
2-3 @ 2.08% (+0.17)
0-3 @ 1.93% (+0.20)
Other @ 2.88% (+0.49)
Total : 28.86%

Head to Head

Primeira Liga
Dec 7, 2025 6.00pm
3
1
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kikas 29' goal
  • Abraham Marcus 34' goal
  • Oumar Ngom 45' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Pinho 89' goal
  • yellowcard Alex Pinto 24'
  • redcard Alex Pinto 28'
  • yellowcard Espen van Ee 51'
  • yellowcard Nais Djouahra 51'
  • goal Taichi Fukui 59'
  • redcard Taichi Fukui 68'
  • yellowcard Pedro Santos 85'
  • yellowcard Hyun-ju Lee 90'+7'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 30
Apr 19, 2025 6.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Alfonso Trezza 5' goal
  • Jose Fontan 39' yellowcard
  • Jason 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Alex Pinto 56' yellowcard
  • Dylan Nandin 67' goal
  • Pedro Santos 86' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jovane Cabral 43'
  • yellowcard Alan Ruiz 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Francisco Sacalumbo 75'
  • yellowcard Ferro 88'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 13
Dec 9, 2024 8.15pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • Paulo Daniel Valente Moreira 37' yellowcard
  • Danilo Veiga 45'+4' yellowcard
  • Tiago Esgaio 58' goal
  • Kikas 65' yellowcard
  • Rodrigo Pinho 68' goal
  • Manuel Keliano 90'+1' yellowcard
  • goal Jason 4'
  • yellowcard Amadou Dante 6'
  • yellowcard Jason 81'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 32
May 5, 2024 6.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio Municipal de Arouca
  • Matias Rocha 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nilton Varela 40'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Pinho 44'
  • yellowcard Leo Cordeiro 90'+3'
  • yellowcard Leonel Bucca 90'+6'
Primeira Liga Gameweek 15
Dec 28, 2023 8.15pm
1
4
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio Jose Gomes
  • Kialonda Gaspar 11' goal
  • Dida 71' redcard
  • yellowcard Rafa Mujica 40'
  • goal Rafa Mujica 47'
  • yellowcard Morlaye Sylla 66'
  • goal Jason 77'
  • goal Francisco Montero 80'
  • goal Andre Bukia 90'+1'
  • yellowcard Ignacio De Arruabarrena 90'+7'