Premier League
Gameweek
38
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Manchester City vs Aston Villa - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Injuries & Suspensions
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Manchester City win with a probability of 62.16%. A draw has a probability of 21.22% and a win for Aston Villa has a probability of 16.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win is 2-1 with a probability of 10.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.02%) and 1-0 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.92%) , while for a Aston Villa win it is 1-2 (5.01%).
Result
Manchester City
62.16%
▲
(+0.03)
Draw
21.22%
▼
(-0.04)
Aston Villa
16.65%
Both Teams to Score:
55.97%
▲
(+0.13)
Goals
Over 1.5
81.82%
▲
(+0.10)
Under 1.5
18.18%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
59.92%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 2.5
40.08%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 3.5
37.1%
▲
(+0.14)
Under 3.5
62.9%
▼
(-0.14)
Over 4.5
23.55%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 4.5
76.45%
▼
(-0.10)
First Half Winner
Manchester City
48.27%
Draw
35.83%
Aston Villa
15.9%
Team To Score First
Manchester City
63.22%
▲
(+0.02)
No Goal
4.56%
▼
(-0.04)
Aston Villa
32.22%
▲
(+0.01)
Corners
Over 8
60.1%
Equal 8
11.27%
Under 8
28.63%
Over 9
48.44%
▲
(+0.01)
Equal 9
11.67%
Under 9
39.9%
Over 10.5
37.37%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 10.5
62.64%
Manchester City Goals
Over 1.5
60.78%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 1.5
39.22%
▼
(-0.11)
Over 2.5
33.82%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
66.18%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
15.14%
▲
(+0.07)
Under 3.5
84.86%
▼
(-0.07)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5
53.85%
▲
(+0.04)
Under 0.5
46.15%
▼
(-0.04)
Over 1.5
23.2%
▲
(+0.06)
Under 1.5
76.8%
▼
(-0.07)
Over 2.5
7.43%
▲
(+0.05)
Under 2.5
92.57%
▼
(-0.05)
Over 3.5
1.96%
▲
(+0.02)
Under 3.5
98.04%
▼
(-0.01)
Score analysis
Manchester City
62.16%
Draw
21.23%
Aston Villa
16.66%
Manchester City
2-1
@
10.16%
▲
(+0.01)
2-0 @ 10.02% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 14.89% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 62.16%
2-0 @ 10.02% ▼ (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.78% ▼ (-0.05)
3-0 @ 6.95% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 6.68% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.68% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 14.89% ▲ (+0.07)
Total : 62.16%
Draw
1-1
@
9.92%
▼
(-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.23%
2-2 @ 5.13% ▲ (+0.01)
0-0 @ 4.56% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.37% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 21.23%
Aston Villa
1-2
@
5.01%
▲
(+0.01)
0-1 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 16.66%
0-1 @ 3.89% ▼ (-0.03)
0-2 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.65% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 1.71% ▲ (+0.02)
Total : 16.66%
Head to Head
Premier League
Premier League
Gameweek
34
-
Bernardo Silva
7'
-
Pep Guardiola
18'
-
Josko Gvardiol
70'
-
Matheus Nunes
77'
-
Bernardo Silva
86'
-
Matheus Nunes
90'+4'
-
Marcus Rashford
18'
-
Lucas Digne
35'
-
Morgan Rogers
50'
-
Ollie Watkins
85'
Premier League
Gameweek
17
-
Jhon Duran
16'
-
Matty Cash
37'
-
Emiliano Martinez
45'+2'
-
Morgan Rogers
65'
-
John McGinn
90'+4'
-
Rico Lewis
47'
-
Josko Gvardiol
84'
-
Jack Grealish
87'
-
Phil Foden
90'+3'
Premier League
Gameweek
31
-
Rodri
11'
-
Jack Grealish
32'
-
Phil Foden
45'+1'
-
Phil Foden
62'
-
Phil Foden
69'
-
Jhon Duran
20'
-
Douglas Luiz
38'
-
Calum Chambers
90'+4'
Premier League
Gameweek
15
-
Ollie Watkins
60'
-
Leon Bailey
74'
-
Boubacar Kamara
87'
-
John Stones
45'
-
Rico Lewis
53'
Premier League
Gameweek
23
-
Rodri
4'
-
Ilkay Gundogan
39'
-
Riyad Mahrez
45'+1'
-
Ollie Watkins
61'