Club Friendlies 3
Jul 28, 2026 7.30pm
Poundland Bescot Stadium

Aston Villa vs Real Sociedad - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Aston Villa

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 8.00pm
Porto 2 - 1 Aston Villa

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Club Friendlies 3
Last game
Jul 25, 2026 5.00pm
Wolves 1 - 2 Real Sociedad

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Aston Villa win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Real Sociedad has a probability of 28.97% and a draw has a probability of 26.64%.

The most likely scoreline for a Aston Villa win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.43%) and 2-0 (6.59%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win is 1-2 (7.08%) , while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (11.96%).

Result

Aston Villa 44.39% (-2.90)
Draw 26.64% (+1.02)
Real Sociedad 28.97% (+1.88)

Both Teams to Score: 

59.75% (-1.65)

Goals

Over 1.5 79.29% (-1.30)
Under 1.5 20.71% (+1.31)
Over 2.5 56.98% (-1.67)
Under 2.5 43.02% (+1.67)
Over 3.5 35.23% (-1.03)
Under 3.5 64.77% (+1.02)
Over 4.5 20.69% (-0.83)
Under 4.5 79.31% (+0.83)

First Half Winner

Aston Villa 36.36% (-2.15)
Draw 42.75% (+1.64)
Real Sociedad 20.9% (+0.52)

Team To Score First

Aston Villa 55.93% (-2.05)
No Goal 5.99% (+0.75)
Real Sociedad 38.08% (+1.31)

Corners

Over 8 57.7% (-1.23)
Equal 8 11.62% (+0.09)
Under 8 30.67% (+1.15)
Over 9 45.87% (-1.20)
Equal 9 11.83% (-0.04)
Under 9 42.3% (+1.23)
Over 10.5 34.84% (-1.05)
Under 10.5 65.16% (+1.05)

Aston Villa Goals

Over 1.5 47.33% (-3.25)
Under 1.5 52.67% (+3.25)
Over 2.5 22.26% (-2.09)
Under 2.5 77.74% (+2.09)
Over 3.5 8.51% (-1.17)
Under 3.5 91.49% (+1.16)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 0.5 67.23% (+1.19)
Under 0.5 32.77% (-1.19)
Over 1.5 34.92% (+1.21)
Under 1.5 65.08% (-1.21)
Over 2.5 13.93% (+0.77)
Under 2.5 86.07% (-0.78)
Over 3.5 4.65% (+0.50)
Under 3.5 95.35% (-0.50)

Score analysis

Aston Villa 44.39%
Draw 26.63%
Real Sociedad 28.97%
Aston Villa
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.62)
1-0 @ 8.43% (+0.09)
2-0 @ 6.59% (-0.43)
3-1 @ 4.87% (-0.34)
3-0 @ 3.64% (-0.46)
3-2 @ 3.55%
Other @ 8.11% (-1.15)
Total : 44.39%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.96% (+0.49)
2-2 @ 6.59% (-0.09)
0-0 @ 5.99% (+0.75)
3-3 @ 1.69% (-0.14)
Other @ 0.4% (-0.02)
Total : 26.63%
Real Sociedad
1-2 @ 7.08% (+0.20)
0-1 @ 6.28% (+0.46)
0-2 @ 3.77% (+0.32)
1-3 @ 3.06% (+0.21)
2-3 @ 2.69% (-0.05)
0-3 @ 1.84% (+0.25)
Other @ 4.25% (+0.51)
Total : 28.97%