La Liga
Real Sociedad
May 17, 2026 6.00pm
3
4
HT : 1 2
FT Anoeta Stadium
Valencia
  • Aihen Muñoz 3' goal
  • Sergio Gómez 57' yellowcard
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 57' yellowcard
  • Luka Sucic 57' yellowcard
  • Mikel Oyarzabal 58' yellowcard
  • Luka Sucic 58' yellowcard
  • César Tárrega 60' goal
  • Orri Óskarsson 63' goal
  • Gonçalo Guedes 79' yellowcard
  • Jon Aramburu 84' yellowcard
  • goal Javi Guerra 8'
  • goal Hugo Duro 22'
  • yellowcard Thierry Correia 73'
  • yellowcard Umar Sadiq 73'
  • yellowcard Pepelu 73'
  • yellowcard Largie Ramazani 74'
  • yellowcard Pepelu 74'
  • yellowcard Umar Sadiq 74'
  • yellowcard André Almeida 83'
  • goal Guido Rodríguez 89'
  • goal Javi Guerra 90'+3'

Real Sociedad vs Valencia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Real Sociedad

All competitions
Last game
May 14, 2026 7.00pm
Girona 1 - 1 Real Sociedad
Goals scored
59
Top scorer
Mikel Oyarzabal

Valencia

All competitions
Last game
May 14, 2026 6.00pm
Valencia 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Hugo Duro

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 43.42%. A win for Valencia had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 26.37%.

The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (7.28%). The likeliest Valencia win was 0-1 (7.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.12%).

Result

Real Sociedad 43.42% ▲ (+0.17)
Draw 26.37% ▲ (+0.05)
Valencia 30.21% ▼ (-0.27)

Both Teams to Score: 

55.08% ▲ (+0.47)

Goals

Over 1.5 74.85% ▲ (+0.27)
Under 1.5 25.15% ▼ (-0.28)
Over 2.5 50.78% ▲ (+0.72)
Under 2.5 49.22% ▼ (-0.72)
Over 3.5 28.94% ▲ (+0.66)
Under 3.5 71.06% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 4.5 15.84% ▲ (+0.57)
Under 4.5 84.16% ▼ (-0.57)

First Half Winner

Real Sociedad 33.73% ▼ (-0.32)
Draw 45.16% ▲ (+0.24)
Valencia 21.11% ▲ (+0.08)

Team To Score First

Real Sociedad 53.09% ▼ (-0.69)
No Goal 7.24% ▼ (-0.07)
Valencia 39.67% ▲ (+0.77)

Corners

Over 8 69.53% ▲ (+3.65)
Equal 8 10.27% ▼ (-0.60)
Under 8 20.21% ▼ (-3.03)
Over 9 57.94% ▲ (+3.92)
Equal 9 11.59% ▼ (-0.28)
Under 9 30.47% ▼ (-3.65)
Over 10.5 46.06% ▲ (+3.84)
Under 10.5 53.94% ▼ (-3.84)

Real Sociedad Goals

Over 1.5 42.57% ▲ (+0.65)
Under 1.5 57.43% ▼ (-0.65)
Over 2.5 18.29% ▲ (+0.53)
Under 2.5 81.71% ▼ (-0.54)
Over 3.5 6.43% ▲ (+0.35)
Under 3.5 93.57% ▼ (-0.36)

Valencia Goals

Over 0.5 65.76% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 0.5 34.24% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 32.23% ▲ (+0.10)
Under 1.5 67.77% ▼ (-0.11)
Over 2.5 11.79% ▲ (+0.23)
Under 2.5 88.21% ▼ (-0.24)
Over 3.5 3.33% ▲ (+0.15)
Under 3.5 96.67% ▼ (-0.15)

Score analysis

Real Sociedad 43.41%
Draw 26.38%
Valencia 30.2%
Real Sociedad
1-0 @ 10.13% ▼ (-0.20)
2-1 @ 9.22% ▲ (+0.15)
2-0 @ 7.28% ▼ (-0.09)
3-1 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 3.39% ▲ (+0.02)
3-2 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.05)
Other @ 6.19% ▲ (+0.25)
Total : 43.41%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.12% ▼ (-0.15)
0-0 @ 7.24% ▼ (-0.07)
2-2 @ 5.51% ▲ (+0.05)
3-3 @ 1.27% ▲ (+0.12)
Other @ 0.24% ▲ (+0.11)
Total : 26.38%
Valencia
0-1 @ 7.77% ▼ (-0.07)
1-2 @ 7.47% ▼ (-0.02)
0-2 @ 4.68% ▼ (-0.23)
1-3 @ 3.16% ▲ (+0.04)
2-3 @ 2.27% ▲ (+0.02)
0-3 @ 1.76% ▼ (-0.08)
Other @ 3.09% ▲ (+0.05)
Total : 30.2%

Head to Head

La Liga Gameweek 1
Valencia
Aug 16, 2025 8.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Real Sociedad
  • José Gayà 27' yellowcard
  • Diego López 57' goal
  • yellowcard Beñat Turrientes 45'+3'
  • goal Takefusa Kubo 60'
  • yellowcard Aihen Muñoz 67'
La Liga Gameweek 20
Valencia
Jan 19, 2025 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Real Sociedad
  • Hugo Duro 26' goal
  • Hugo Duro 87' yellowcard
  • Cristhian Mosquera 90'+4' yellowcard
  • Dimitri Foulquier 90'+6' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Jon Pacheco 42'
  • yellowcard Javi Lopez 49'
  • yellowcard Sergio Gomez 89'
  • yellowcard Martin Zubimendi 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 8
Real Sociedad
Sep 28, 2024 5.30pm
3
0
HT : 1 0
FT Reale Arena
Valencia
  • Takefusa Kubo 8' goal
  • Orri Oskarsson 80' goal
  • Orri Oskarsson 90'+2' goal
La Liga Gameweek 36
Real Sociedad
May 16, 2024 9.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Reale Arena
Valencia
  • Andre Silva 3' goal
  • yellowcard Hugo Guillamon 29'
  • yellowcard Sergi Canos 90'+4'
La Liga Gameweek 7
Valencia
Sep 27, 2023 8.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 2
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Real Sociedad
  • Selim Amallah 42' yellowcard
  • Selim Amallah 45' redcard
  • Javi Guerra 45'+3' yellowcard
  • Cristhian Mosquera 79' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Urko Gonzalez de Zarate 14'
  • yellowcard Urko Gonzalez de Zarate 14'
  • yellowcard Jon Pacheco 25'
  • yellowcard Jon Pacheco 25'
  • goal Carlos Fernandez 32'
  • goal Carlos Fernandez 32'
  • yellowcard Hamari Traore 45'+2'
  • yellowcard Carlos Fernandez 62'
  • yellowcard Brais Mendez 68'
  • yellowcard Mikel Merino 81'
  • yellowcard Igor Zubeldia 89'
La Liga Gameweek 23
Valencia
Feb 25, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Estadio de Mestalla
Real Sociedad
  • Igor Zubeldia 40' goal

Form Data

Girona 1 - 1 Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad 2 - 2 Betis
Sevilla 1 - 0 Real Sociedad
Rayo Vallecano 3 - 3 Real Sociedad
Real Sociedad 0 - 1 Getafe
Atletico 2 - 2 Real Sociedad
Valencia 1 - 1 Rayo Vallecano
Athletic Bilbao 0 - 1 Valencia
Valencia 0 - 2 Atletico
Valencia 2 - 1 Girona
Mallorca 1 - 1 Valencia
Elche 1 - 0 Valencia