Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 50.13%. A win for Getafe had a probability of 25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 2-0 (8.48%). The likeliest Getafe win was 0-1 (6.58%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.